Mandatory evacuations issued for Florida Keys.

[Dr.Phool]

I just saw it on the Weather Channel, nobody has any links yet, otherwise it would be posted in LBN.

Mandatory visitor evacuations to start Saturday for Florida Keys.

I guess we're going to get a visit from Ike.Forecasts have the storm moving through the Florida Straits and curving up into the gulf.

Right now the cone looks like the west coast of Florida.

On edit: It was just visitors on Sat at 9:00 am.

Added Everybody mandatory evacuation on Sunday 9:00am.

[Turbineguy]

1. Throw the horse over the fence

some hay.

[Dr.Phool]

3. A horse can't eat while he's flying!

[Turbineguy]

2. .

[Ghost Dog]

4. Merde. Another hit for Hispaniola & Cuba, then?

http://www.prensa-latinaenglish.com/article.asp?ID={F5B8B5EC-4CEA-43F8-973D-CC33EA9DA950})&language=EN
http://www.prensa-latinaenglish.com/article.asp?ID={4E9786E9-4032-4B66-8D19-E478324A0489})&language=EN
http://www.prensa-latinaenglish.com/article.asp?ID={3C561B98-0AA8-4FF2-85DC-314555989F5E})&language=EN

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=389x3923218

[Dr.Phool]

8. I know this sounds cynical and a little sick, but....

If I weren't an atheist, I might say that god is trying to put those poor people in Haiti out of their misery. They've been through too much the last couple of weeks already.

[Ghost Dog]

14. Indeed.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=102x3472825

[flamingdem]

18. Haitians are more godlike than most Americans and their religion is alive

as opposed to written in the bible.

[flamingdem]

19. If you need to blame something blame global warming and donate to the Haitians nt

[entanglement]

21. Smells like a Malthusian with a racialist streak..I wouldn't hold my breath for that

[entanglement]

20. Yeah, they've been through too much so they should all die now?

:puke:

[Purveyor]

5. Just damn. They have Ike tracking into the Gulf as a Cat 4 with the upper

Gulf states as a very possible destination.

Lots of time yet for the track to change however.

[malaise]

13. Yes indeed

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/052046.shtml

Down to 115 now but likely to strengthen.

HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
500 PM AST FRI SEP 05 2008

...POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IKE HEADING TOWARD THE BAHAMAS...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE REST OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...SOUTH FLORIDA...
AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.1 WEST OR ABOUT 430 MILES...690
KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND ABOUT 460 MILES...
735 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. A
MOTION TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW...WITH A GENERAL MOTION TO THE WEST EXPECTED BY SUNDAY. ON
THIS TRACK...IKE COULD BE NEAR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS EARLY SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS...BUT IKE IS EXPECTED TO BE A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT NEARS
THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120
MILES...195 KM.

AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE HURRICANE HUNTER REPORTED A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 958 MB...28.29 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...22.9 N...64.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM AST.
---------------
Miami may be spared. This one looks very dangerous. Prepare DUers, prepare

[Dr.Phool]

6. Update: TWC again.

Mandatory visitor evacuation starts at 9:00am Sat for the Keys.

Mandatory Everybody evacuation starts at 9:00am Sunday.

[Purveyor]

7. 5 day tracking chart and computer models...

[Dr.Phool]

10. Looks like I better get burrowed in real good late Wed. or early Thursday.

One last run to the liquor store for a case of Stoli!

[Ghost Dog]

12. Ah, ok. So Haiti may get, like, just a lot more rain.

:(

And, later, I see Florida's problem...

The Lower Bahamas, I guess, know how to cope?

[flvegan]

16. I really don't like the curve it's taking up the gulf coast of Florida.

[cobalt1999]

9. The fact is there is no such thing as a Mandatory Evacuation

The police can show up and tell you it's a mandatory evacuation. They can tell you that you have to leave, but no one can MAKE you leave.

Lot's of people won't due to delays in being allowed to return, or bad shelter conditions.

[Dr.Phool]

11. You're right.

And a lot of people won't leave because shelters won't allow pets.

[SheilaT]

17. You are right, of course.

But being told it's a Mandatory Evacuation will persuade some number of people to leave who might otherwise stay. I've never been to the Florida Keys, but aren't they basically at sea level? Doesn't that make them particularly vulnerable to wind and rain damage? It's a tough decision for those who have pets, who don't have friends or relatives in a safe zone willing and able to take them and their pets in. I have three cats of my own and I can't imagine what I'd do if faced with such a decision.

[Breeze54]

15. Ike Satellite Image & Ike Forecast Eye Path - (Still to early to know where it's headed..)

Ike Satellite Image


# http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/storms.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=0&storm=Ike&ocean=atlantic&stormNum=8&imagetype=warn">Watches and Warnings:
Shows the tropical storm and hurricane watches and warnings.
This image is updated every 6 hours, more frequently as the storm approaches land

Ike Forecast Eye Path


It could go north to Florida or stay south and hit Cuba... they don't know yet.
:shrug:

http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/storms.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=0&storm=Ike&ocean=atlantic&stormNum=8&imagetype=move

[malaise]

22. Absolutely correct

What's more, I can't see how Florida will escape that Northern Quadrant.

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/vortfix/comment.html?entrynum=77&tstamp=200809
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