Alabama DUers, is this true

[malaise]

Dear Dr. Masters,

I live in Magnolia Springs, Alabama, just 15 miles from the direct path of Hurricane Ivan. I have a friend of mine who has been an in-shore charter boat captain in this area for 30 years. He has the answer to all the failed hurricane predictions we keep making. He told me that Sea Turtles have the answer. Every year sea turtles start nesting around the first of June, unless a hurricane comes that year. Well, storms usually come after June, right? So how could they know? Well he stated last year that I had nothing to worry about because the turtles were on point, even though hundreds of scientists had predicted the worst season in history. Well he made a believer out of me. 2006 nesting, 2005 no nesting, 2004 no nesting and so on. My memory is not that good. He said that when nesting, a hurricane will not hit within 200 miles of the area. Now, I'm no betting man, but I will put $1000 on this year that we won't get hit. How about it?

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1026&tstamp=200808

[katmondoo]

1. I was at Daytona beach about 10 days ago

The water was unusually COLD for this time of year. I go every year and it is like bath water most years not so now. Hurricanes gain strength in warm water. My prediction there won't be a serious hurricane in the near future.

[malaise]

3. Well Masters thinks otherwise

I'll go with him

[NightWatcher]

2. my SO, the marine biologist is nodding her head "no"

she says she's never heard that. She works as a marine mammal observer and is looking this question up, but still says "no"

This data may be spurious.

In South Padre Island this year there were 188 Kemps-Ridleys nests (to July) up from 128 last year total. http://www.seaturtleinc.com/ They have been hit twice already. The number of green turtle nests have been increasing as well over the past few years.

[malaise]

4. She's the expert

I'll accept the words of the expert. Sounded really strange. Thanks.

[NightWatcher]

5. she's still trying to research this, but not finding anything but this one guy's article

she's still looking, but not finding anything.