Ohio Analysis of Absentee Voting...

[jhgatiss]

Tonight I searched the individual websites of the BOE's across Ohio to find some counties that separated absentee from election day ballots. Out of 88 counties, I found four. I'll post the data here for everyone to see.

County Method Vote Bush Kerry Bush % Kerry % Totals
Butler Punch Card Total 106735 54185 0.652143363 0.331066549 163668
Election Day 97655 49161 0.654954327 0.329713887 149102
Absentee 9080 5024 0.623369491 0.344912811 14566

Clermont Optical Total 61694 25318 0.7064 0.2899 87337
Election Day 56205 22724 0.70939 0.286811 79230
Absentee 5489 2594 0.677069 0.31997 8107

Franklin Electronic Total 234192 275577 0.454325356 0.534610997 515472
Election Day 213875 255527 0.450342797 0.538046728 474916
Absentee 20317 20050 0.500961633 0.494378144 40556

Stark Punch Card Total 89859 92295 0.482459249 0.495538303 186252
Election Day 80779 83726 0.48044417 0.497971856 168134
Absentee 9080 8569 0.501159068 0.472955072 18118

I don't see any patterns here. It looks like in the rural counties that Kerry was leading in absentee voting... Butler and Clermont. However, in the more urban counties such as Stark or Franklin, Bush led in the absentee ballots.

Sources:
http://www.butlercountyelections.org/pdf/canvas.pdf
http://www.butlercountyelections.org/LiveResults/data/results.txt
http://www.clermontelections.org/default.php?section=results&topic=current
http://copperas.com/fcelection/
http://www.boe.co.stark.oh.us/can1104.txt


I will also note that it is very disturbing how many counties seem to have the same format reports posted on their websites. Are those the typical outputs from the GEMS systems?

[UL_Approved]

1. The PDF for Butler county was down for a few minutes

I wonder if they are having server overload or if they needed to change something.

[jhgatiss]

2. Who knows?

Franklin County pulled their PDF file sometime this week so I had to source it from someone else's post here.

[Iceburg]

3. The Franklin pdf is still there but they have pulled the main link to the

election results page
http://www.franklincountyohio.gov/boe/content/electionAbstract.htm


Unofficial Abstract of Votes (PDF) (NOTE: This is a large file and may take some time to download.)
http://www.franklincountyohio.gov/boe/04UnofficialResults/Unofficial%20Abstract%20of%20Votes%20General%2004.pdf

[truehawk]

4. You might look at 2000 data and see how the absentees went

They are usually more Reupblican than the area by about 3 or 4 precent.

The fact that the election day results were more heavily republican than the absentees in the two rural counties could be due to liberal collage students voting absentee. It could also reflect vote padding by the Republicans in safe counties.

The nice thing about this is that there will be poll books and ballots to count.