any poll numbers on the DeLay race??

[mark414]

[jefferson_dem]

1. I think i saw one just the other day with Delay up but not safe.

And his number was well below 50. Could it be???? Sure would be nice!

Here's some very recent info from http://www.dailykos.com/section/House2004

Good government watchdog group Campaign Money Watch and Democracy for America are entering the fray in DeLay's district, taking him to task for, well, being an all-around scumbag. I mean, it takes some real hard work to be admonished by the ethics committee three times in a week, while having a fourth charge deferred pending the outcome of a criminal investigation.

Club for Growth is now running ads for DeLay in the district. Club for Growth wouldn't be throwing money at this race if they weren't worried about DeLay's chances.

Remember when we first contributed to this race? Morrison was a nobody. My hope was to simply force DeLay to campaign more in the district, thus keeping him from campaigning and fundraising for other Republicans. Now Morrison is a serious candidate with a legitimate chance to win.

Amazing.

There's a reason Club for Growth and DeLay should be worried.

Lake Snell Perry & Associates (D) for Private Client. 10/10-11. MoE 4.9%. (No trend lines).

DeLay (R) 47
Morrison (D) 33
Among the findings:
DeLay has high negatives. 17% view him very favorably, 25% view him very unfavorably.

Morrison's name ID is at 50 percent, which clearly has to improve in the next couple of weeks.

20% remain undecided, even when asked which way they lean.

While the poll pegs DeLay's support at 47%, only 33% say they support him strongly. 10% say they are not-so strongly for him, and 4% are undecided but lean toward DeLay. Even tallying up all his support, strong and weak, he's still under 50 percent.

The ethics violations are accumulating voter sentiment against DeLay, and voters are looking for an alternative. More than a third (34%) of voters say they're less likely to vote for DeLay because of the ethics violations, and only half of those are currently with Morrison.

It's crazy to think we have a shot here, but DeLay and his allies are sweating it. That, alone, is a minor miracle.