TPM Daily Poll Tracker: Obama 49.7, McCain 44.7

[dennis4868]

http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/

It's down about a point and a half from yesterday. Still waiting on Gallup and ABC/Washington Post polls to report.

[Bicoastal]

1. What's wrong with a 5 point lead?

Clinton beat Bush with a 5 point lead--and with Perot stealing votes away.

Honestly, all of you are jumping at your own shadows these days.

[dennis4868]

3. ummmm...

i never said that something was wrong in my posts...I was just reporting the numbers....maybe you were thinking that to yourself?

[Bicoastal]

7. Yeah probably...

...sorry. :(

[jenmito]

2. I don't like him falling below 50%. Luckily, though, people are already voting.

I think his numbers will improve after tonight's ad, anyway.

[Bicoastal]

6. 49.7 isn't really "below" 50...

Don't worry. I'm worried, but you guys don't worry.

[MadBadger]

9. I really hope he gains in Gallup, cuz otherwise this place will go into full blown MELTDOWN

[thewiseguy]

10. People need to pay attention to swing state polls,

Who gives a fuck if McCain is up by 25 points in Alabama.

[dennis4868]

11. My wife and kids leave the house at 1pm...

when the poll comes out...they do not want to be close to me :-)

[jenmito]

12. I'm with you...

I ALWAYS worry. (But then I look at state polls and I stop worrying. But then I look at these national polls and I worry AGAIN.) I guess I'm bi-polar. :)

[dennis4868]

13. yep...

me too...don't know what to think really...national polls tightening big time and state polls looking better and better every minute...WTF is going on here?

[thewiseguy]

15. McCain could be adding to his lead in the south

Obama's leads in NY and California could be shrinking.

[Jennicut]

19. McLame is solidifying his base if the battlegrounds aren't moving.

And they are not.

[jenmito]

17. I just want Nov. 4th to get here already...

and have Obama WIN, of course, which ALL the odds show happening.

[Smuckies]

18. Me too.

I am too. I am worried about the weekend now. I just want Nov. 4 to go our way.

[MadBadger]

4. That thing changes wildly. For example, its 49.8, 44.6 with no polls added since ur OP

[Mass]

5. Because they just dropped the Pew Poll that had a 12 % lead for Obama.

(a not very likely poll)

BTW, it is now 49.8 44.6.

[dennis4868]

8. Right...

and they must have realized they had their math wrong and made the small correction...

[WI_DEM]

14. A 50/45 point lead--Not bad!

[dennis4868]

16. I will take that....

on election day but we are not there yet....

[OmahaBlueDog]

20. That leaves 5.6 unaccounted

Figure 2% will go to Barr/Nader/McKinney/et. al.

That leaves 3.6% -- even if they all broke for McSame, he's likely lose.

That said, we need to get back on offense. However much we might not like to hear it, McSame's latest ads are more effective than the dreck he was spewing.