IMO Don't buy the "tightening" meme wholesale

[4themind]

Or get too worried about it at least. Stay focused on the 50% number, which is what the aggregates tracking polls have Obama at or above right now. Also look at the averages on a week to week basis, and then look at it early next week before you panic (but still ACT like we are down of course, canvassing,phone calling GOTV etc.)
<http://openleft.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=9437>
Obama's leads of 8% points or more, in many cases haven't been 54-46 they've been more like 51%-43/44 for McCain. Which means there have been a lot of undecideds in these polls, and I can guarenDAMNtee you that it won't be 51-43 on election day. And I expected McCain to pick up a significant number of these undecideds, since if they are still undecided after all of the mess that is going on now, I think that there may be some security/and or cultural fear issues that will make them tend more towards McCain anyway. You'd have to go back 44 years to find a democratic nominee who got JUST 50% of the vote (in the midst of not only an economic/energy crisis, but also with watergate).That translated to a 297 point Electoral vote victory(however the state by state demographics will be different this time around I believe) Stoller has a good article on this but don't take the title as gospel either as it hasn't occured yet, heh. <http://openleft.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=9453> Finally please don't discount the early pollings that have been going on, and which by some estimates may account for half of the voting in many of these battleground states. Even if the polls tighten now, we'll still ahve some "votes in the bank" to work from at least,

[99th_Monkey]

1. I think the only thing "tightening" is McCain's sphincters. ~nt~