Race Rating Change in New Mexico: Now Leaning Towards Obama

[babylonsister]

Race Rating Change in New Mexico: Now Leaning Towards Obama
By Marie Horrigan, CQ Staff
Oct. 3, 2008 – 2:21 p.m.


Trends in recent polling on New Mexico indicate momentum is on Democrat Barack Obama ’s side against Republican John McCain , leading CQ Politics to change our rating on the presidential election there from No Clear Favorite to Leans Democratic.

A Rasmussen survey released Thursday indicated that Obama leads McCain 49 percent to 44 percent, a major slide for McCain from his 2-point lead in the state in a Rasmussen poll one month ago. The margin of error was 4 percent.

And, a Survey USA poll released Wednesday had a wider margin, showing Obama with 52 percent to McCain’s 44 percent. The margin of error was 3.8 percent.

Rasmussen found that Obama’s major strength was among the state’s large Hispanic population, which trends Democratic. New Mexico has the highest percentage of Hispanics in the country. Forty-two percent of New Mexico residents are Hispanic, more than three times the national average. They constitute a vital voting bloc in a state that has seen some of the tightest margins in presidential elections over the past two races, when President Bush won by 0.8 percent in 2004 and Democrat Al Gore won by 0.1 percent in 2000.

more...

http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docid=news-000002970422

[Happyhippychick]

1. So much for that "Hispanics won't vote for AA's" argument.

[4lbs]

2. It seems only Cubans in Florida have a problem with Obama.

Although, ever since the Elian Gonzalez incident during the Clinton administration, most Cubans have turned against the Democratic Party and favored the GOP.

They hated that Janet Reno sent Elian back to Cuba.

[demosincebirth]

5. They miss the old days of Baptista

[Xipe Totec]

3. As they say in Old Mexico,

Señor McCain está jodido.

(Mr. McCain is fucked).

[babylonsister]

4. Yea, there's a meme who's time has come...and gone. nt

[FatDave]

6. I've been counting NM for Barack for months.

As have most of the poll tracing sites. I thought it was common knowledge that Barack would win NM.

[babylonsister]

7. It wasn't at CQ Politics, and they've been tracking every race. nt