Dupe

[AllentownJake]

The past two weeks have been a disaster for McCain. Palin is doing horrible every time a reporter or a Temple Grad student asks her a question, the public blames the economy on the GOP, and he took credit for passing something that ended up failing on Monday and made a giant show of what a strong leader he was before it failed. His debate performance was awful despite the talking heads trying to make it a tie. He came off angry and unstable in his body language.

McCain took public financing which means he got around 85 million to control since the convention. The rest is subsidized by the GOP. If the GOP views McCain as a lost cause they will take their money and give it to house and senate races to try to make the bleeding there not as bad. Hell even McConnel is having some problems right now. The last thing the GOP wants is a bigger majority in both houses and an Obama Presidency. They will invest their resources accordingly. McCain has about a week to turn this around in the polling before his funding gets cut significantly by the party and he is asked to play the role of Bob Dole in 1996 and help Senate and House races. He won't be able to fund the map because of the money he has and 527s don't help a losing candidate since they want something for their investment.

I think he has 7 days to make progress in the polls otherwise the GOP spicket will be off.

The most competive Senate races are in Colorado, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Minnesota, and Oregon. While they are all up for grab states with the exception of Oregon and Minnesota they aren't Ohio, PA, Florida, Michigan, New Mexico, Nevada, Indiana or Virginia...it would free Obama to run unopossed in those states money wise and walk his way to a landslide.

In short expect McCain to get very nasty and very Rovian in the next 7 days to try for the game changer.