One of the best polling days we've ever had! OBAMA O8 BABY!

[darius15]

Gallup National: Obama 48, McStunt 45
http://www.gallup.com/poll/110749/Gallup-Daily-Obama-48-McCain-45.aspx

Rasmussen National: Obama 50, McStunt 45
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Hotline National : Obama 49, McStunt 42
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/Hotline_092608.htm

New York (SUSA): Obama 57, McStunt 38
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportEmail.aspx?g=280813c4-7fe9-4e42-8522-1591d2e9f476

Missouri (SUSA): McStunt 48, Obama 46
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportEmail.aspx?g=76dd0f91-20ba-47df-b13c-ad1ba897b613

Missouri (Post-Dispatch): McStunt 47, Obama 46
http://www.stltoday.com/stltoday/news/stories.nsf/politics/story/3368120E9B53BDC1862574D0000D8EF4?OpenDocument

Oregon (Research2000): Obama 53, McStunt 39
http://dailykos.com/story/2008/9/25/194636/939

Montana (Research 2000):McStunt 52, Obama 39
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/9/26/11613/1541/292/610927

Pennsylvania (Morning Call): Obama 47, McStunt 43
http://www.mcall.com/news/nationworld/state/all-a1_5poll.6604193sep26,0,1738520.story

Michigan (StrategicVision): Obama 48, McStunt 45
http://www.pollster.com/blogs/strategicvision_mi_nh_92224.php

New Hampshire (StrategicVision): Obama 46, McStunt45
http://www.pollster.com/blogs/strategicvision_mi_nh_92224.php

Virginia (Rasmussen): Obama 50, McStunt 45
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/virginia/election_2008_virginia_presidential_election

Florida: McStunt 48, Obama 47
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/florida/election_2008_florida_presidential_election

These polls dont even include the young voters who will vote in droves for Obama, or the increased turnout from African Americans.

Enjoy! :hi:

[nomaco-10]

1. I couldn't be happier how things are panning out. All we need...

is a couple more mcain fuckups and some more more palin interviews.

[maxsolomon]

2. i had high hopes for Montana

but they're reverting to their head-in-the-sand ways.

otherwise, yay! WTF with the 46-46 tie yesterday, Gallup?

[darius15]

3. Probably statistical noise. Gallup daily has been bouncing around a lot for the last month.

[LSK]

5. forget Montana, lets get CO, NM, VA, NV, NC

[darius15]

8. Agreed. CO, NM, VA look in good shape for us. We have 50\50 shots of winning NV and NC.

[maxsolomon]

9. well, i like Montana. my brother lives there

and they've recently been electing dems.

i know we can do without them.

[PerfectSage]

4. You missed a good one: Rasmussen VA Obama +5

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=7198272&mesg_id=7198272

[darius15]

6. That is great news! Adding it to the OP right now!

[FatDave]

32. Holy shit. +5 in VA?

He wins VA, he wins the election. Almost guaranteed.

[darius15]

33. He wins VA, he can't lose unless...

He loses NH & IA & CO....not likely at all. Or, if he loses MI or PA. Not likely at all.

[FatDave]

35. The only one of those I could see him losing is NH.

IA is a lock. CO is an extremely likely win, as are MI and PA.

[darius15]

36. Exactly. Even NH has a slight blue lean.

[4_Legs_Good]

7. Take a look at electoral-vote and compare with where Kerry was today in 2004

We're looking much, much better, and we barely lost that one.

David

[GrizzlyMan]

10. Isn't Strategic Vision right leaning?

[darius15]

12. Yup. About 2-3 percentage points to the right, I'd say.

[gratefultobelib]

11. A plug for Missouri please! We've gone from 5 down to 4 down to 3 down to today's news!!

[blue-kite]

18. Missouri...

Missouri is definitely on the cards... all the polls slowly slowly coming our way.
Keep up the good work.

[darius15]

20. Welcome to DU! And yea I agree...

I was dissapointed that for a while, MO looked to be trending towards McCain a bit. But now, it's close, and I think we have a chance of pulling it out.

[blue-kite]

26. Where?

Where exactly are you?
What does it look like... barn signs, bumper-stickers, all that?
What about campaign offices.
Where is good for Obama... what are the issues for Missouri?
I'm ignorant of the geography!
Cheers

[darius15]

28. I am a registered voter in NJ, although I'm currently in my second residence in Ontario.

Obama has much more field presence than McCain, no exact numbers though.

Kansas City & St.Louis (the 2 major cities) are both Democratic. Honestly, the rest of the state is very Republican. So for Obama to win, he needs to run up the numbers in KC & STL (both have over 40% AA population), and keep the margins down in the rest of the state.

[blue-kite]

29. Cheers!

Thanks for the info... I wonder whether the Obama camp has crept out into the burbs and beyond. Would be interesting to hear from them down there!
Toronto. Cool City!

[David Zephyr]

13. I simply love the name McStunt. It's the best one yet. I'm using it.

And great poll numbers, too. Thanks for sharing.

[Erin Elizabeth]

14. The African-American turnout is what won him Texas.

They turned out to caucus like it was nobody's business and they'll turn out to vote in numbers that have never before been seen. At my friends' churches, they're being encouraged to vote as soon as early voting opens up so that they won't get caught in some long ass line on election day and no shenanigans will result from that.

There's a local rap/hip-hop station that has been saying the same thing for weeks now. Vote early. Vote early. Vote early. Vote early. Take your neighbors. Take your coworkers. Take your friends. Walk if you have to. GIve people rides. Take the bus (buses are free on election day). Do whatever you HAVE TO DO to vote.

They go over it every morning and evening on that station. And they once interviewed Michelle Obama on the air.

I'm telling you, just watch.

[HughMoran]

15. Fuckin' bigot morons here in NH piss me off

I think Obama may have a chance, but it's gonna be close!

[darius15]

16. May have a chance? He's GOING to WIN NH!

[HughMoran]

21. History says he will

But there are massive numbers of bigots up here using the "there's just something about him I don't trust" meme that's a cover for "he's a goddamned N&*(^&^" I hate the fucking rednecks up here, I can't imagine how bad it is for people down south.

[darius15]

23. I think you'll find those in every state. It is very sad.

That said, I think the people of NH are smart and they will vote Obama in November.

[HughMoran]

27. Massholes like me have infiltrated this sorry redneck state in MASSive numbers

It's why the state is slowly but surely turning from RED to BLUE

[arewenotdemo]

30. Good for you. But I need someone to explain to me...

just what it is that the Vice-Pres....oops.

I mean, just why it is that VT and NH are so different politically speaking, when they fit together so nicely on the map?

[HughMoran]

31. It's funny how that works out huh?

I dunno, but NH seems to be getting swallowed up by MA & VT as the rural areas near the VT border are blue and now the cities and southern areas having been invaded by MASSholes are turning blue as well. NH will be a liberal state at some point. Dems took over the House, Senate, Governors office and both US House seats last election. First time Dems have owned all 3 branches here in like 80 years. I expect some losses this time around, but I think there is a long-term turn to blue occuring here.

[sniffa]

37. I hope you work hard for Shaheen too

She should be killing Sununu (sp?) but she's barely ahead (I think +1 in the Suffolk). The Suffolk guy was on WBZ radio last night talking about NH. He said Obama is solidly in the lead even though it's only 1 point (suggesting it's larger than that, and that his organization is so strong he should win). He said Shaheen was more tenuous at 1 point, and that surprised him. He then talked about HRC "Dem" voters: 16% of them are voting for McCain while only 12% are voting for Sununu. He also pointed out that these numbers were almost all male HRC voters.

[HughMoran]

39. I wonder why Shaheen was up by 11 points just a couple weeks ago?

I know there are some crazy negative ads being run by "the Chamber of Commerce". They are full of lies - Republicans are scumfucking-bags - I'd like to kick their asses for being such filth.

[sniffa]

40. He mentioned something about that

She's saturated the airwaves with negative ads, that don't mention herself at all save for the "I approve this message" part. He didn't think it was backlash but he thinks she's in danger of hitting that point. He suggested she could still saturate with negative ads, but that she needs to start putting out ads about her. She's pretty popular in that state (if I remember correctly.. or at least she used to be) so I'm stunned to see it so close.

[HughMoran]

41. She's almost equal negative to positive ads at this time

I'd say I see them about equally, so she's trying to balance the two.

[sniffa]

42. Well, I can only go by the Boston, WBZ radio market

I hear two ads running almost every commercial break: Shaheen's Sunnunu is Bush ad, and the (whatever group)'s Shaheen raised taxes ad.

I hear Shaheen's almost every commercial break, and the other one once or twice in the same hour.

I obviously don't have the same ear to the ground for this but it seems to have "some" validity.

It was pointed out that Suffolk was the only poll to correctly predict HRC's win, so the guy was given much credence. That being said, I was happy to hear him say that Obama is solid despite leading by the same amount in his poll, and disheartened by his saying that Shaheen is in trouble. :shrug:

[HughMoran]

43. This is sickening - Shaheen went from up 11 to down 7 in one month?

Huh? http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/new_hampshire/election_2008_new_hampshire_senate

WTF is going on here? Unexcited Republicans becoming energized by Conventions & P* is guessed by Rasmussen. If that's the case, then he'll likely fall just as quickly once reality hits home with the failing McP*W campaign.

[mzmolly]

17. "McStunt"

:rofl:

I hope we ride this wave all the way into the OO...........

[DCBob]

19. Tomorrow should be similar. Yesterday/today were brutal for McCain/Palin

And it should get even better over the next few weeks. I understand the Obama campaign has not even started the much anticipated October offensive.

[workinclasszero]

22. This is AWESOME!! I WANT A DEMOCRATIC LANDSLIDE!!

Happy days are here again folks!!:party:

President Obama is gonna clean house next year!:woohoo:

[FatDave]

34. I'm still dreaming of a "Mondale's Revenge" scenario.

Unlikely as it may be.

[Jeff In Milwaukee]

24. Pew Charitable Trust says add +2 for cell phone voters...

Typically young and overwhelmingly Obama.

[FLyellowdog]

25. I think FL will pull it out. We did for Gore and we will for Obama.

We just have to be sure no dirty tricks are used to keep our votes from being counted.

[choie]

38. Obama's polling against Palin now???

Oh ... gee, my bad, I guess I misread that. McSTunt.


Nevermind. </emilylitella>

;)