Rasmussen, 8/21: Obama 45%, McCain 42% (with leaners, Obama 48%, McCain 46%)

[highplainsdem]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Thursday, August 21, 2008

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Barack Obama attracting 45% of the vote while John McCain earns 42%. When "leaners" are included, it’s Obama 48% and McCain 46% (see recent daily results). Tracking Polls are released at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time each day.

The race has been amazingly stable in recent weeks with the candidates staying within a point or two of each other every single day. A batch of polls from other organizations yesterday confirmed the tightening of the race that Rasmussen Reports first picked up several weeks ago. One of the advantages of daily tracking is that you are able to more precisely measure when changes in the race take place rather than relying on a once-a-month update. Currently, a couple of other polls show McCain ahead and a few more show Obama with the lead. That’s exactly the distribution you’d expect to see if Obama is up by a point or two.

-snip-

New state polling data shows a toss-up in New Hampshire, Obama with a narrow lead in Pennsylvania, and McCain with an advantage in Ohio, Louisiana and Florida (see 50-State Summary). Democrats lead by ten on the Generic Congressional Ballot.

-snip-

Obama is viewed favorably by 56% of the nation’s voters, McCain by 55% (see trends). Obama is viewed favorably by 82% of Democrats while McCain earns positive reviews from 87% of Republicans. Overall, voters continue to hold stronger opinions about Obama rather than McCain. Thirty-three percent (33%) have a Very Favorable opinion of Obama and 28% have a Very Unfavorable view. For McCain, those numbers are 20% Very Favorable and 20% Very Unfavorable.

Rasmussen Markets data currently gives Obama a 58.7% chance of winning the White House. The markets also view Senator Joe Biden as the frontrunner for the Democratic Vice Presidential nomination. Market data suggests that McCain is favored to win Florida. Obama is favored to win Pennsylvania and Michigan while Ohio remains a toss-up.

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[bushisanidiot]

1. Ha ha!! McInsane's fake "lead" didn't last long. Hope he at least ate some cake.

cuz he's not gonna have much else to celebrate any time soon! Oh, other than his 72nd birthday.
Damn, that's old! Most people I know have retired or plan to retire by 55 or 60. McOld should retire too! No way he has another 4 years, let alone 8 years left in him. No f'in way!

[Pab Sungenis]

2. Why the hell does McCain have 55% favorables?

We have to work harder getting his real record known.