Rasmussen daily graph for 5/18/08 - Obama unchanged (46), Clinton unchanged (44)

[DavidDvorkin]

Obama back to a one-point lead over McCain. They've been tied for a long time.

Yes, Rasmussen is still polling. Yes, they plan to stop. No, they haven't yet stopped or said when they will.








(Pretend that the 10 and 20 lines are actually 0.)


Thanks to DUer Austinitis, we also have these nifty favorability graphs:

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=pLYPNryKcVU1Vud9WwRj7KQ&oid=7&output=image

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=pLYPNryKcVU1Vud9WwRj7KQ&oid=8&output=image


Gallup: http://www.gallup.com


These Rasmussen graphs are all contained on one Web page at http://www.dvorkin.com/rastrack.html

Rasmussen links:
Data in tabular form
Discussion

[MindMatter]

1. What is the point?

The campaign is over. Obama is going to be the nominee. The Clintons are pulling back their rhetoric. Didn't Rasmussen even say that they were no longer going to poll on Clinton?

Give it a rest. Continuing to post crap like this is just an irritant. We don't need that.

[DavidDvorkin]

3. Don't read it.

[Tellurian]

5. Looks like a TIE to me!

[MindMatter]

7. Alrighty then

Off to the ignore list with you.

[Nedsdag]

8. Don't put Tellurian on ignore.

She's going through the stages of death acceptance.

Right now, it's denial.

[Zachstar]

2. What is the point of posting this?

Obama is going to win before Oregon results start coming in... It's too late for Clinton to stop things. And even FL is seated as is and Mi is not 50/50 she will still be past the point of impossible to win.

It's done.. Lets just work on Phonebanking a bit and GE stuff. For the next month Polls are useless as Clinton supporters start converting to Obama supporters.

[DavidDvorkin]

4. Don't read it.

[bluestateguy]

6. Obama seems to persistently underperform in tracking polls

Yet in more traditional polls he seems to outpoll McCain.

[DavidDvorkin]

9. That's interesting

I wonder why that would be?

[Douglas Carpenter]

10. "Rasmussen Reports believes the race is over and that Barack Obama will be the nominee"

"With this in mind, Rasmussen Reports will soon end our daily tracking of the Democratic race and focus exclusively on the general election competition between Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama."

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

"Data from Rasmussen Markets gives Sen. Obama a 61.5% chance of winning in November "
(results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants)."

" The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows Democrats leading in states with 200 Electoral Votes while the GOP has the advantage in states with 189. Rasmussen Markets data gives Democrats a 61.5% chance of winning in November (results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants). "


"At the moment, Senator Clinton’s team is busily trying to convince Superdelegates and pundits that she is more electable than Barack Obama. For reasons discussed in a separate article, it doesn’t matter. Even if every single Superdelegate was convinced that the former First Lady is somewhat more electable than Obama, that is not enough of a reason to deny him the nomination.

With this in mind, Rasmussen Reports will soon end our daily tracking of the Democratic race and focus exclusively on the general election competition between Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama."

"Data from Rasmussen Markets gives Sen. Obama a 61.5% chance of winning in November "

"Rasmussen Reports believes the race (for the Democratic Party nomination) is over and that Barack Obama will be the nominee of the Democratic Party. We will stop tracking the Democratic race in the near future to focus exclusively on the Obama-McCain match-up."

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

_________________________________________

Real Clear Politics Average: Obama 48.8/Clinton 42.0 --

Obama 47.0/McCain 43.6 links:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com /

The nomination poll is an average of the latest polls from Gallup, Rasmussen, Quinnipiac, and ABC News/Wash Post

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/democratic_presidential_nomination-191.html

The general election poll averages the latest polls from Gallup, Rasmussen, Quinnipiac,ABC News/Wash Post,POS/GQR and LA Times/Bloomberg

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

------------------------------------------------------------------------

"Rasmussen Reports believes the race is over and that Barack Obama will be the nominee"

"With this in mind, Rasmussen Reports will soon end our daily tracking of the Democratic race and focus exclusively on the general election competition between Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama."

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

"Data from Rasmussen Markets gives Sen. Obama a 61.5% chance of winning in November "
(results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants)."

" The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows Democrats leading in states with 200 Electoral Votes while the GOP has the advantage in states with 189. Rasmussen Markets data gives Democrats a 61.5% chance of winning in November (results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants). "


"At the moment, Senator Clinton’s team is busily trying to convince Superdelegates and pundits that she is more electable than Barack Obama. For reasons discussed in a separate article, it doesn’t matter. Even if every single Superdelegate was convinced that the former First Lady is somewhat more electable than Obama, that is not enough of a reason to deny him the nomination.

"Rasmussen Reports believes the race is over and that Barack Obama will be the nominee."

"With this in mind, Rasmussen Reports will soon end our daily tracking of the Democratic race and focus exclusively on the general election competition between Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama."

[DavidDvorkin]

12. I guess we'll find out what "soon means"

when they stop posting the numbers.

At which point, I'll do my very satisfying final post of the Rasmussen poll, using my own numbers.

DU will rejoice!

[DavidDvorkin]

11. Gallup: O 52, C 41

[Bullet1987]

13. Primary tracking polls at this point are pointless...

[DavidDvorkin]

14. You know, I think I've heard that

Here on DU. A few times.