Behold: The Votemaster's Electoral Vote Predictor Says We're Winning!

[floridaguy]

This is a great site. The map and predictions are based on the most current polls. :bounce:

[havocmom]

1. While it makes me feel better for the American future...

everytime one of these gets posted, I feel the urge to bring yet another roll of duct tape up from the basement. Think I'll check my supply stash down there today too. Make sure there are enough canned tomatoes to get me through the next Ridge induced panic.

[Doug Decker]

2. I love that site...

I have it bookmarked and go there every day just for a pick-me-up.

Now we need to get the Barely Bush states, like Virginia and Tennessee to go blue for Kerry.

:hi:

[Walt Starr]

3. Kerry - 307 | Bush - 231

WOW!

We could be looking at a landslide if the trends continue. Unfortunately, Bushco has the opportunity to control the agenda via 'Terra Lerts' between now and the election. Plus, there's the inevitable 15 point bounce from his convention.

/sarcasm

[wryter2000]

4. Look at FL

It was Bush, then "barely Kerry," now "weak Kerry."

[Julien Sorel]

5. Please remember the other guys get their convention.

Dukakis/Bentsen were leading by something like 20% at this point in 1988; I personally thought they were unstoppable. Try not to look at this as a wet blanket, just a warning that things can change quickly in this game.

[elperromagico]

6. Remember also that George Bush 41

hadn't been President for four years in 1988. Yes, he'd been VP for eight years, but that really isn't the best job - IMHO - to establish credentials as a leader. Bush had a reputation as something of a wimp, born with a silver foot in his mouth and all of that. The convention gave him an opportunity to redefine himself in the eyes of the public. And also remember that there were far more undecideds at this point in 1988.

While I certainly don't think a Kerry victory is set in stone, I'm just wracking my brain trying to figure who, after four years of seeing this President in action, is suddenly going to decide that they like him now. He will get a bounce of some sort, probably, but I can't see it being any bigger than Kerry's. Kerry going into the convention was an unknown quantity to most voters; Bush going into the convention is a known quantity to anyone who hasn't been living under a rock for the last four years.