Kerry 226 Electorial Votes, Bush 149; Cal. the big change.

[usregimechange]

Kerry: 17 states for 226 EV

Bush: 15 states for 149 EV

8 states for 97 EV, too close to call

11 states for 66 EV, No Polls Available

http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/CurrentPolls.htm

Bush even has Ohio and we are still ahead!

[TruthIsAll]

1. ARG and Zogby have Kerry ahead in OH by 7% and 4.6%, respctively

I believe these professional pollsters rather than a Repuke rag like the Cleveland Plain Dealer.

Kerry will win OH.

[Capn Sunshine]

2. According to AP Bush leads in Ohio

Bush Leads Kerry in Ohio, New Poll Shows
May 30, 2004 06:12 PM EDT
CLEVELAND - President Bush leads Democratic rival John Kerry in the key swing state of Ohio in a three-way matchup that includes independent presidential candidate Ralph Nader, a new poll shows.

Republican Bush was at 47 percent, followed by Kerry at 41 percent and Nader at 3 percent among registered voters surveyed by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research for The Plain Dealer. Results were released late Saturday.

Nine percent of voters were undecided.

Bush's lead came although about half in the poll expressed disapproval of his handling of the economy, found to be the No. 1 issue among Ohio voters. The state is one of several in the region to lose manufacturing jobs under Bush, while Kerry has made the jobs issue central to his White House campaign.

These latest results come two weeks after an American Research Group poll of 600 likely voters found Kerry had edged ahead of Bush in the state, 49 percent to 42 percent, with Nader at 2 percent.

Bush won Ohio in 2000 by 4.4 percentage points.
http://start.earthlink.net/newsarticle?cat=9&aid=530104616_5308_lead_story

So maybe now Kerry will kick it up a notch?
Oh, right...he's taking the Holiday off.........

[juajen]

3. No way

I don't believe this is a credible poll. No way Bush could have pulled ahead of Kerry in two weeks time with the bad news going on right now, plus additional losses of jobs in Ohio.

As far as his taking a day or so off, what nerve! I would like for Kerry to be alive at election time, and not keel over from exhaustion. Get a grip. The campaign is going swimmingly, thank you.

[sandnsea]

5. self-destructive

I swear some people would be willing to suffer 4 more years of Bush just so they could say "should have gone with Dean". And a few other candidate's supporters are just as bad.

8. And some people will blame Dean supporters for every Kerry error

You're so quick to blame Dean's supporters, and so reluctant to criticize Kerry.

Is Kerry committing an error taking the day off? I doubt it, but if Cap thinks so, that's his right, and not a reflection on Dean, or Dean supporters.

Dean's supporters are some of Kerry's most active and energized bases, despite the fact that folks like you spit on us at every chance.

Give it a rest, eh?

[WI_DEM]

12. thank you!!

I doubt it will do much good with this person--who has always been one of those who has liked to categorize supporters of other candidates as somehow not good enough since they were not for Kerry from the beginning.

[tritsofme]

7. Believe ARG over Zogby any day,

but Mason-Dixon is a very credible polling organization.

I happen to believe that their most recent poll is nothing more than an outlier, and that the race is truly a dead heat.

[dusty64]

4. Ohio is a tossup

with latest polls showing it leaning Democrat.

[tritsofme]

6. Does this include the "Zogby Interactive"

results in the count?

Those polls are BS and do nothing but give us false comfort.

[lastknowngood]

9. This is B.S. Kerry has only Mass and New York I don't think he

will even get Cawleefornya because the Gropenator will purge the Dem
roles just before the election. Trust me on this and every "battleground" state is using Die-bold so you can count them out the shrub is a shoe in. Kerry isn't even trying to win he never complains about the shrub and agrees with him on almost every issue.
Get ready for a dictatorship for real after Nov 4.

[cyclezealot]

11. Calif. Secretary of State is a Democrat.

A very savvy , progressive Democrat at that..He mandated all kinds of stipulations for counties using Diebolt technolgy..Secretary Shelly demands a paper trail... The Gropernator has not absolute control of California..yes, he knows how to bully with his special interest money. But that won't buy an election.. Yet.

[amjsjc]

10. Unfortunately it dosen't mean much...

Most of the states without polls are locks for the Republican party. I expect he 04 map to look like the 00 map with a couple of swing states colored differently. On the bright side the senate map suggests we'll pick up a few seats. Now if we could only get the house...