RAS Poll: Obama up by four in TX but down by three in BELO TX poll

[book_worm]

Texas Obama leads HRC 48-44. Obama leads with men by 16-points and trails among women by 9. The Latino vote favors Clinton by 9, but that is substantially lower than it used to be.

www.rasmussenreports.com

In the Public Strategies/BELO TX Tracking Poll, Clinton is up 46-43. Clinton leads among Dems in TX by 52-36, but Obama leads among independents by 54-38.

Where RAS has Hillary leading Latinos by nine, this poll has her up by 33-points among latinos.

Among those who say they have already voted the race is 50-50

http://www.pstrategies.com/pdfs/PL_20080226_TX_Tracking.pdf

And looking ahead Ras has Obama only down by four in PA--46-42

[cali]

1. The polls I'm really interested in are Monday's

I wouldn't be at all surprised to see Obama up by 10 in TX.

[workinclasszero]

2. Do we have to wait till Monday for fresh polls? eom

[cali]

5. no, but those are the polls I"m most interested in

[workinclasszero]

17. OK, thanks I wanna see some polls before the election myself

I'm just goin crazy waiting for March 4 lol. :)

[GodlessBiker]

6. Mondays? You wait 24 hours and you get the actual vote.

I bet the polls that come out on Monday at 9:00 p.m. will be really interesting.

[KittyWampus]

8. don't know cali, there's a shitload of negative crap coming out right now on Obama

We'll see if the weekend news has anything further on the Clintons.

[NJSecularist]

3. EDIT: wrong thread

edit: wrong thread

[book_worm]

4. kick

[NJSecularist]

7. The second poll is completely wrong.. they overstate white support and understate black and Latinos

They have

White: 62
Black: 14
Hispanic: 19

Al the other polls are showing something like this

White: 52
Black: 22
Latino: 25

[Coexist]

9. Updated Pollster Report Card - so we can look at this objectively:

[MadBadger]

10. Actually, the tracking poll yesterday said Obama was now down 1.

[book_worm]

13. so he closed the gap to one point in yesterdays survey?

that's good.

[MadBadger]

14. Two days ago they started releasing tracking poll data

Yesterday the second day's worth of data came out showing it Clinton 46(+0), Obama 45(+2). Based on the results of the most recent data, I see him taking the lead in today's results.

[dana_b]

11. sorry

if this question seems ignorant, but from what I've seen, the polls really don't mean much. They are fairly inaccurate since super Tuesday. They also show such a big difference in numbers that I wonder if they even matter. Don't get me wrong, I guess they're interesting just not too telling.

Oh, the question? Have any polls, that you all know about, been accurate since Super Tuesday?

[book_worm]

12. somebody posted a report card on pollsters above, but polls are just that

snapshots in time. The real poll that counts is Tuesday.

[HiFructosePronSyrup]

20. "They are fairly inaccurate since super Tuesday."

That's true. Obama did way better than the polls said everywhere.

[book_worm]

15. Does anybody know where the candidates will be this weekend?

it will say a lot about how they view the race. For instance, if HRC spends most of her time in Ohio and Obama most of his in TX that may mean they see those states as their best chances.

[Coexist]

16. this thread discusses Obama's upcoming, I don't know Clinton's.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x4808736

[Tropics_Dude83]

18. Zogby has tracking polls coming out tonight n/t

He's polling today, and then Friday-Tuesday the D and R OH and TX primaries.

[nickn777]

19. second poll is 3 days old....RAS is from yesterday