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And quite frankly, it is her best strategy at this point. Super Tuesday was effectively a draw, with Obama coming out slightly ahead in pledged delegates. Had Clinton done better, I think she would be much more competitive right now. But as it sits right now, she had little chance of winning any other February states save Maine and Wisconsin. Maine was a caucus, and was not exactly a Clinton stronghold, which is why Obama ended up winning handily. It looks like Wisconsin will probably fall for Obama as well. At this point, it would be worse to fight all out in Wisconsin and lose than it would be to save those resources for March 4. There are 14 contests after February and many of those already seem like locks for Obama. MS and NC in the South, MT, ND, and WY out west, as well as OR look likely to go to Obama. IN, KY, and WV are pretty much toss-ups, and will likely be decided by who has the momentum going into those contests. Which leaves us with Clinton's 5 best chances at a winning. Luckily for her, 4 of those contests are on the same day, March 4. RI and VT might be more likely for Obama if they were not in the shadow of OH and TX. If Obama spends time in those two states he could very well win, but in so doing lose the bigger prizes of the day. A more balanced approach by Obama could lead to losing all 4 states. Of course, this is all premature as the race could shift between now and March 4, but I believe Clinton's hopes lie in sweeping March 4. From there PA would be a strong chance for her to solidify a come back. Even still it may not be enough to overcome Obama's pledged delegate lead, but it should bring the gap small enough that Superdelegates could feel free voting for her without worrying about "going against" the will of the voters. Obama's strategy now is to run up the score for the rest of the month, take RI and VT on March 4, and hope that momentum helps him blunt in leads Clinton might have in OH and TX. If March 4 comes out looking like a wash, or even better a win for Obama, the race is all but over.
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