I wonder what John Zogby poll is going to show this morning in light of the DMR poll out

[bigdarryl]

he has been tracking Iowa since last Thursday and yesterday he said his poll showed Obama didn't do that good in the last tracking poll.

[KingofNewOrleans]

1. I don't think Zogby is including

such a large number of first time caucus goers as the DMR did, so it'll probably be quite different.

We'll know Thursday which one is the right formula.

[aquart]

2. I have to believe the one with first time caucus goers is correct.

It's unthinkable that this election isn't bringing in new voices. Since Obama has a wide lead among students, that should clinch Iowa for him. The DMR has him pulling out of the MOE in a previously too close to call race. It's got to be the newbies.

I don't want to be there when they find out Obama doesn't represent change of anything.

[BluegrassDem]

3. Zogby won't be on the front page of Iowa's largest newspaper

And it won't be the leading story on the local news. If a candidate has to pick a poll to lead, it would be the DMR poll. That's the poll that grabs all the attention, not a tracking poll from Zogby.