Repug POLL: Huckleberry and Mittens in dead heat in Iowa, the Ghoul is tanking (24/ 26/11)

[jefferson_dem]

ARG: Huckabee And Romney In Dead Heat In Iowa
by Todd Beeton, Thu Nov 15, 2007 at 02:38:58 PM EST

The new ARG Iowa caucus poll of likely Republican caucus goers (600 LVs, 11/10-14, MOE 4%) is worth noting because it's the first poll to show Mike Huckabee essentially tied for the lead with Mitt Romney.

Candidate Nov. (Oct.) RCP 4-poll Ave.
Romney 26 (27) 28.5
Huckabee 24 (19) 19.8
Giuliani 11 (16) 12.3
Thompson 11 (8)) 10.3
McCain 10 (14) 7.3
Paul 3 (1) 4

It will take a few more polls to confirm whether Huckabee's truly gone from merely surging to actually tied for the lead but the way he's been moving (single digits in September, the teens in October, the 20s in November) he's certainly on track not only to catch Romney but to pass him. Real Clear Politics has some handy charts, including Romney's and Huckabee's relative InTrade prediction market trends. In the past two weeks, Huckabee has gone from 15% chance to win the caucus to 40% to win while Romney has gone from 68% to win down to 54% today.

http://www.mydd.com/story/2007/11/15/134229/23

[villager]

1. Split that vote, fundies!

n/t

[ChairmanAgnostic]

2. I kinda like it.

Mittens has thrown in how much of his ***-gotten gains? $100,000,000? 2? 3?
He just can't buy himself a break. And the pressure hasn't really started yet.

If people knew the story behind the story, heh.

Huckster is no gem either. His religious stance should seriously scare literate and educated women everywhere. What an embarrassment if America, formerly the top magnet for Nobel Prize winners from around the world, elects a FLAT-EARTHER as president.

Some people say that a little faith is a good thing. I happen to disagree. But faith to huckabee is like more water to a drowning man.

[BringBigDogBack]

3. Excellent.

As sleazy as he is (Ghouliani), he would still be the toughest to beat in the General.

And pretty much a worst-case scenario for our country.