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New Zogby: Hillary 38%, Obama 24%, Edwards 12%, Undecided 18%.

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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-31-07 01:55 PM
Original message
New Zogby: Hillary 38%, Obama 24%, Edwards 12%, Undecided 18%.
New York Sen. Hillary Clinton maintains a strong national lead over her rivals for the Democratic nomination with the support of 38% of likely Democratic primary voters nationwide, an increase from 35% support in mid-September, a new Zogby International telephone poll shows.

The national preference poll shows Clinton has a 38% to 24% lead over Illinois Sen. Barack Obama, while former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards trails in third place with 12% support. All three front-runners show slight gains in support since polling in mid-September.

Eighteen percent of Democrats remain undecided, a slight decrease from polling in September. The latest Zogby International telephone survey of 527 likely voting Democrats was conducted October 24-27, 2007, and carries a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points.

Women strongly favor Clinton (43%) over Obama (22%) and Edwards (12%). She also leads among men, but by less wide of a margin. Clinton also enjoys a strong lead among self-described moderate and liberal Democrats, while progressive Democrats are more likely to favor Obama (41%) over Clinton (33%) and Edwards (8%). Obama shows a slight edge over Clinton among likely Democratic voters age 18 to 29 – 34% to 32% – but Clinton holds a comfortable lead among older voters.

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1381
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Clintonista2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-31-07 01:56 PM
Response to Original message
1. "Someone else" is beating Dodd and Gravel...
Someone Else 2008!
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Kurt_and_Hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-31-07 01:56 PM
Response to Original message
2. Obama 41% vs. Edwards 8% among progressives. That's striking
I would never have guessed Edwards did worse with progressives than he does overall
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-31-07 02:00 PM
Response to Reply #2
6. That blew me away.
You would think that Edwards would have at least a higher percentage with progressives than his overall Dem figures.
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Clintonista2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-31-07 05:07 PM
Response to Reply #6
11. Many people identify as "progressive" yet may not understand the implications of this
Edited on Wed Oct-31-07 05:07 PM by Lirwin2
People on DU are pretty informed. Putting them aside, I doubt the average Dem "progressive" could really name the differences between the two.
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MalloyLiberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-31-07 01:57 PM
Response to Original message
3. I just don't believe it.
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emilyg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-31-07 01:58 PM
Response to Original message
4. Thanks for posting.
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SteppingRazor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-31-07 02:00 PM
Response to Original message
5. Interesting that the zogby poll has been largely unchanged since May.
I wonder what those 18 percent undecideds are going to do. At this point, they're more than enough to swing the election to Obama, or even Edwards, if one allows for the margin of error -- unlikely, certainly, but it does fly in the face of the 30-point lead that Clinton has enjoyed in some other polls.
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-31-07 02:02 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. Could the relative infrequency of the Zogby poll have an effect?
Most other polls are done on a monthly or even bi-weekly basis.
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SteppingRazor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-31-07 02:04 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. Wouldn't a more-infrequently taken poll have a wider deviation?
And what the hell are those 18 percent waiting for, anyway? :P
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-31-07 02:09 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. The undecided (+ someone else) came to 20% which is a little higher than most other polls.
Which tend to be between 10 to 15 in undecided + someone else + not voting.

http://www.pollingreport.com/wh08dem.htm
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CyberPieHole Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-31-07 02:05 PM
Response to Original message
9. Haven't you heard: "She's unelectable".
Or so I hear.:eyes:
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elizm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-31-07 05:38 PM
Response to Reply #9
12. The Democratic primary is not the 'elelction'. nt
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Carrieyazel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-31-07 05:49 PM
Response to Original message
13. What happened to 51 and 53%??? Hillary seems to have come back down to earth.
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