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I think Richardson will be the last of these three to drop out because he can compete in the southwestern primaries. but Dodd and Biden will be fighting to win the same voters that Hillary will probably win.
this happened in 2004...Kerry, Lieberman, and Dean were all fighting to win New Hampshire. Lieberman was the first to sink, while Kerry managed to win the nomination. it still amazes me that Kerry was able to win the nomination with two other north easterners in the race, but Iowa gave Kerry the momentum..while Lieberman didn't even bother with that state. as a result, New Hampshire became a two man battle between Dean and Kerry. but Lieberman, who I thought was the unbeatable frontrunner, wasn't even a factor in New Hampshire.
in 2004 I was looking for a Democrat who opposed the war, supported universal healthcare, and would give all frontrunners a good fight. at first Dean was my primary contender, but he dropped out and I voted for Kucinich..who was still in the contest in March. I never believed any of the Democrats would beat Bush in 2004, so I considered my vote more of a protest of against those who were afraid to speak out against this administration's 9/11 power grab. Kerry didn't seem very different from Lieberman in 2004, but he almost defeated Bush in November and made me proud that I supported him.
Biden's campaign reminds me of Gephardt's campaign four years ago. four years ago..the only thing I liked about Edwards was that he voted against Bush's taxcuts. I was frustrated that he wasn't running for re-election in the Senate, but quickly began to view him as the populism behind the Kerry-Edwards ticket. running with Kerry transformed Edwards into something more than a moderate southern Democrat, Edwards also learned that people want someone who will fight against the odds without being defensive about their beliefs.
Hillary Clinton is certainly the best known and best financed of the candidates, so is she the Lieberman or Kerry of this campaign? Obama is still the undefined force, and he may surprise all of us..just as Dean did in 2004. I am much more optimistic now than I was four years ago. John Kerry's near defeat of someone I considered unbeatable had allot to do with that, and our victories in 2006 was another factor. this time I am not just looking for a protest candidate or someone who doesn't equate defeat with idealism. I am looking for a candidate who is willing to put glory aside and will spend the time it takes to correct Bush's mistakes..regardless of how dirty and painful that becomes.
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