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I think so.
Remember that before the election McCain had come out and said that we should put more troops in. At that point Bush was "stay the course" all the time.
I bet McCain didn't think Bush would change from that.
It makes sense, Bush is trying to run out his clock, so that when the next president has to deal with the problem that president can be blamed when Iraq inevitably collapses.
McCain probably thought Bush would continue to say "stay the course" and wait out the rest of his term.
McCain could thus propose this "brilliant" new idea of a surge and use it to hang his presidential hat on. He looks good when Bush continues what he is doing and, predictably, the situation gets no better.
But after the election, which was a mandate for an end to the situation in Iraq, Bush preempts McCain's idea. Why?
Bush is a guy who never changes his mind, who never listens to anyone, and who never admits a mistake. Why would Bush suddenly change course now, especially when he can run out the clock?
I think it's because he doesn't like McCain. Now that Bush is doing McCain's idea, McCain looks like a horse's ass when it doesn't work. He loses it as a platform. Dems are smartly calling it the McCain doctrine.
The funny thing is Bush gets no advantage from doing this. He couldn't reasonably believe that 20k more troops out of 140k will make any difference (the military estimated securing the country (back in 2003) would have needed about 400k troops). The surge is politically unpopluar. All Bush needs to do is keep Iraq from completely falling apart until his term ends.
The only explanation is he is trying to sabotage McCain. I'm guessing it might be bad blood from 2000 or Bush shilling for another candidate.
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