Massive sell-off of Bush shares on tradesports.com

[TedsGarage]

I look at this site every day, and Kerry is now favored to win for the first time EVER.

[JuniorPlankton]

1. Can't connect

COuld you, please, post a few numbers?

[TedsGarage]

2. Last I looked

Kerry was up to around 51-52% likelihood, even higher to win the popular vote. It's the beginning of the panic, so the numbers are very fluid now.

[wicket]

3. I can't get to the site, but thanks for the update!

Here's the link for anyone who wants it, but their site is either down or very very slow right now:

http://www.tradesports.com

[endnote]

4. I cannot believe they still allow bets on this!!!???

[dkamin]

5. That's why the site leans so heavily Republican

traditionally, this site has been much more Republican in its predictions than actual reality.

Law-breaking thugs find their own.

[denverbill]

6. That's why Bush has been favored there for so long.

Men favor Bush, and men likely represent 95% of the traders on that site, and gamblers like that are probably even more Bush-fans than normal males.

[phish420]

17. Bets allowed I believe until polls close

[denverbill]

7. Now Kerry 55, Shrub 45! n/t

[denverbill]

8. Freeper reaction. Now Kerry 56-Bush 42.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1266753/posts?page=59#59

[denverbill]

9. Massive selloff now at Kerry 62, Bush 38. Haha.

[Guaranteed]

10. WOW.

Fucking AMAZING.

[denverbill]

11. Bush now at 35. Still BIG orders on the 'ask' side.

And almost no people interested in buying in the 30's for Bush.

[Ima]

12. Whoo Hoo

[endnote]

13. Told you! These sites are BS. People just read the news and

bid, nothing more than that. The same happened in the Dem primary. Dean was up until the last minute. Then collapsed.
What I'm saying is that this is a REACTIVE site, not useful for FORECAST...

[denverbill]

14. I agree, but it's a blast to watch the panic selling.

[zoeb]

15. Freepers took it hard....

they pulled the thread when it was only nine points in favor for Kerry.:toast:

[Awsi Dooger]

27. You have no idea what you're looking at

Yes, it's a reactive site TODAY. Brilliant.

You're not really trying to spin that into a negative, are you? These are people who are seizing an opportunity to profit whith the odds stacked in their favor. It's a hell of a lot better giving 1/2 odds or whatever with every variable, including exit polls, in your favor with only a few hours to wait until collection, than educated guesswork at even odds a month or two out. Are you telling me you wouldn't rather bet or project a football result late in the third quarter than five days ahead of time?

I'm doing GOTV in Las Vegas and we were just given a brief break. I took advantage by checking out DU, then pressing up my Kerry bet via a friend who has an account with Tradesports. The offshore betting outfits closed early this morning.

This is surreal profit making, along with the ongoing glee of the result matching my politics and my heart and desperation.

Back to work:). Go ahead, flame us gamblers. BTW, I won with the Jets last night also. I admittedly reacted, to previous results certifying my Dolphins are incompetent this year.

[endnote]

29. No, it's a positive! Repugs are realizing the sand castle is collapsing!

[Goldmund]

16. Yo guys

How can I get the latest quote?

Thanks

[denverbill]

18. Just go to www.tradesports.com

The pages open very slowly. Click on the 'trading screen' tab though and it takes you to a screen with the latest bid/ask/last trade.

[Dutch Courage]

19. US Newsfutures: Bush Wins: 43%

US Newsfutures http://us.newsfutures.com/ has ‘Bush Wins’ at 41% now. Lowest until now was 47%, after the first presidential debate. Just before that it was 70%

[Goldmund]

20. He's at 36 now

Edit: Duh, your image is updating live...

[Dutch Courage]

22. Falling like a stone

35% now,some five minutes later.

[Goldmund]

24. Did you say 34?

[Dutch Courage]

31. 26% after 1.15 hours

Fun.

[Dutch Courage]

32. The 24 h graph looks like a waterfall:

[StaunchFriend]

21. The ownage is massive.

The ownage is massive.

Bush 38.4% (-15)
Kerry 62.4% (+15.4)

http://tradesports.com/jsp/intrade/contractSearch/searchPageBuilder.jsp?grpID=70

Bush campaign in full free fall.

[newyawker99]

26. Hi StaunchFriend!!

Welcome to DU!! :toast:

[denverbill]

23. Hahah. Only bid on Bush winning Ohio is $.01 for 23 contracts.

Someone is willing to gamble $.23 for a chance that Bush will win there, but that's it.

Asking price is $42.

[denverbill]

25. Tradesports now has Kerry 70, Bush 30. n/t

[girl gone mad]

28. Latest:

Contract B Qty Bid Ask A Qty Last Vol Chge
PRESIDENT.GWBUSH2004 96 28.9 29.5 535 29.5 1.2m -23.5
PRESIDENT.KERRY2004 50 71.0 71.1 5 71.1 141.5k +24.1

Kerry is above 70. :)

[endnote]

30. BWAAHAHAHAHAH!

[noamnety]

33. Kerry: 71, Bush: 28 (nt)