Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

It's good that Kerry is shown a point or two behind in the polls

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
PlanetBev Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-23-04 12:02 PM
Original message
It's good that Kerry is shown a point or two behind in the polls
In 1968, the polls showed Humphrey 3 points ahead of Nixon. Democrats were very divided that year because of the war and the aftermath of the Democratic Convention in Chicago. Between the complacency and the divisions, Nixon won by the skin of his teeth.

This year in particular, there is no luxury of sitting on our ass and blowing off voting, as there is no play in the polls at all. Unlike other years, we are united and determined. I believe all the components are in place to pull this thing off. We've got the winning hand.

Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-23-04 12:03 PM
Response to Original message
1. Not true. The polls showed Humphrey behind but closing the gap.
I know. I was there.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Trajan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-23-04 12:03 PM
Response to Original message
2. I agree ....
No matter WHAT the polls say: Presume we are 1 % point BEHIND in EVERY state .. and fight LIKE HELL for that last 1% ....

We will win if we fight for it ...
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-23-04 12:04 PM
Response to Original message
3. Actually the final Harris poll had HHH up by 3
but for most of the campaign Humphrey had been behind Nixon, as much as 15-points, until he gave the "Salt Lake City" speech in late Sept where he modified his views on Vietnam--then he started gaining.

But your point is correct that in the end it will come down to turning out our voters.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
PlanetBev Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-23-04 12:14 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. I'll never forget watching the returns come in that night in '68
At one point, they showed a split screen, 30 million for Humphrey and 30 million for Nixon. It really was one of the all time cliff-hangers. It is said that if Humphrey had just one more week, he would have won.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
dolstein Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-23-04 12:16 PM
Response to Original message
5. Bullshit. No candidate wants to be behind in the polls with 10 days to go
When you're ahead in the polls, the press uses words like "surging" and "momentum." The crows at your campaign rallies are "energized" and "hopeful." Your campaign strategists are "geniuses." Your opponent is "beleagured." His attacks carry a tinge of "desperation." His supporters are "anxious".

The press is just dying to report that the momentum has swung to a particular candidate in the final days of the race. As long as Kerry's behind, he sure as hell isn't going to be able to reap the benefit of that kind of story.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Fri Apr 26th 2024, 11:35 AM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC