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Banking has become a Chinese fire drill

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eridani Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-02-09 07:53 AM
Original message
Banking has become a Chinese fire drill
http://www.alternet.org/workplace/128920/

The sad truth is that banking has become a Chinese fire drill -- a frantic act of futility -- as insolvent companies persist in covering up their losses in order to avoid the counter-party hell of credit default swaps that would ring the world's "game over" bell. This can only go on so long. All the chatter about "nationalizing" the banks really boils down to what kind of bankruptcy work-out will they be put through, how destructive will the process be, and how much of the pain can be shoved forward in time to people now in diapers and their descendants.

Among the questions that disturb the sleep of many casual observers is how come Mr. O doesn't get that the conventional process of economic growth -- based, as it was, on industrial expansion via revolving credit in a cheap-energy-resource era -- is over, and why does he keep invoking it at the podium? Dear Mr. President, you are presiding over an epochal contraction, not a pause in the growth epic. Your assignment is to manage that contraction in a way that does not lead to world war, civil disorder or both. Among other things, contraction means that all the activities of everyday life need to be downscaled including standards of living, ranges of commerce, and levels of governance. "Consumerism" is dead. Revolving credit is dead -- at least at the scale that became normal the last thirty years. The wealth of several future generations has already been spent and there is no equity left there to re-finance.
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Joanne98 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-02-09 08:00 AM
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1. Paying the "counter-parties" is a big problem. It's what AIG is doing
We keep giving AIG money and they are paying the counter-parties. It's an outrage. Especially Paulson running money through AIG to pay it's BIGGEST counter-party Goldman Sachs. If the public ever figure this out they're going to want to hang them.
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GoesTo11 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-02-09 03:50 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. Why should Goldman lose money?
Just because they created the toxic mortgage market and then avoided losses by shorting the mortgages with CDS at the same time they were making commissions by selling them as CDOs? And just because Paulsen retired at the peak of that with a $600M bonus? Please, these guys deserve and need the money more than you and me.

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dixiegrrrrl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-02-09 02:58 PM
Response to Original message
2. Keep sending those cards and lettters in to the Prez, folks.
Virtual style, of course...who can afford the stamps?
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