NYT/AP: Obama Counting on Indiana
By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
Published: April 12, 2008
MUNCIE, Ind. (AP) -- Barack Obama sees himself with a disadvantage in Pennsylvania and with an advantage in North Carolina. ''So Indiana may end up being the tiebreaker,'' he said this week. As he completes a four-day tour of the Hoosier state, that's the Illinois senator's assessment of the Democratic presidential contests in the coming three weeks.
For Obama, that's a tough call. Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton has single digit leads in the state, according to recent polls. She has the support of the state's popular Democratic senator, Evan Bayh. And the state has a sizable number of blue collar industrial workers, a demographic group that has leaned in her favor. But Obama is from neighboring Illinois, and is well-known in the Indiana counties around Lake Michigan that have access to Chicago's media market. He also has the support of two respected former members of Congress from Indiana -- Lee Hamilton and Tim Roemer.
Pennsylvania holds its primary April 22. Indiana and North Carolina hold theirs two weeks later. A two-out-of-three outcome in favor of the Illinois senator at the end of that stretch may not drive Clinton out of the race, but it would deflate her argument that Obama can't carry an industrial state where blue-collar workers predominate.
''If he wins Indiana, that's a pretty strong signal that he's probably going to secure the nomination in my view,'' said Rep. Baron Hill, an Indiana Democrat who has not endorsed either Clinton or Obama. Significantly, Hill is a superdelegate, one of nearly 800 party leaders and elected officials who could determine the nomination.
Obama has been pouring money into the state with ads and field offices. His bus tour this week is his longest stay in the state. He visited six of the state's nine congressional districts, packing high school gymnasiums and rousing audiences with a condemnation of Washington and special interests....
http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/us/AP-Obama-Indiana.html