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Did anyone see CNN's poll? Repubs outnumber Dems 37% to 29%??

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David_REE Donating Member (51 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-30-03 04:00 PM
Original message
Did anyone see CNN's poll? Repubs outnumber Dems 37% to 29%??
Last I saw, Repub registration was creeping close to Dem, but what's with this poll?
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SoCalDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-30-03 04:01 PM
Response to Original message
1. I think Schneider included the independents who "lean" GOP
Just doing his usual shilling for the AEI..

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Frodo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-30-03 04:04 PM
Response to Original message
2. There's a difference between party registration...
...and party affiliation.


Republicans have outpolled us in generic party affiliation for a year or two now, but I think we still lead in registration.

THIS number, however, looks too big.
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lancdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-30-03 04:25 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. It looks much too big
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David_REE Donating Member (51 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-30-03 04:42 PM
Response to Original message
4. No guys... this was the breakdown:
37% registered Repub
11% independent but lean Repub
9% independent don't lean
14% independent lean Dem
29% registered Dem

CNN/USA Today/Gallup
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Bill McBlueState Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-30-03 04:54 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. who knows if this matters, but
I think progressives are less likely to openly identify with a party, even if they usually vote for that party's candidates.

For several years, I was hesitant to call myself a Democrat even if I almost exclusively voted for them. I would've been in that "independent lean Dem" category, I suppose.
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LiberalFighter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-30-03 05:27 PM
Response to Reply #4
9. What about those that refused to ID themselves?
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0rganism Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-30-03 08:49 PM
Response to Reply #4
17. What is the date of the poll? How many polled? Why is there no source?
I have looked at Gallup's website, and find no mention of this radical data. Perhaps someone will be so kind as to post a link?
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Bandit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-30-03 04:46 PM
Response to Original message
5. It sounds to me like Democrats are leaving the party in droves
Not to become Republicans but to become independents. When the Party no longer represents your interests what ya gunna do?
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loudnclear Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-30-03 04:50 PM
Response to Original message
6. Repugs won when Dems out numbered them...so, what?
The vote that counts is the vote that is cast and counted.
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supercrash Donating Member (412 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-30-03 05:02 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. Jeeesh
Yet for some strange reason the Dem's have won the popular vote in the last 3 Presidential elections
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Ksec Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-30-03 05:31 PM
Response to Original message
10. doesnt surprise me too much
Ive seen this trend taking shape . The last election kind of made me believe they were growing. Its a natural cycle and its in its right wing apex right now. I predict it will take ten yrs to come back.
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depakid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-30-03 05:40 PM
Response to Original message
11. Horseshit
Edited on Tue Dec-30-03 05:42 PM by depakote_kid
or should I say sheepshit

Unless there's been some massive influx of Republicans and and equally massive number of defections from Democrats in the past several months- you're getting fed a load of crap. The last CREDIBLE numbers I saw, compiled from all the Secretaries of states showed that Democrats still led in registration numbers by a few percentage points, with the in most places electorate trending independent.

Why anyone here would believe anything they saw in a CNN poll is beyond me. Come on, DU'ers, you're smarter than that.
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Woodstock Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-30-03 10:27 PM
Response to Reply #11
19. I'll second that - we were ahead in the numbers I saw
this site is pretty interesting/has some info on Dems - the 10 year thing is just not true, the cycle is tilting our way now:

http://www.emergingdemocraticmajority.com/
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KansDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-30-03 05:43 PM
Response to Original message
12. Wow!! And to think Gore got half a million more votes than Bush!
There must have been A LOT of Gore Republicans!
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grasswire Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-30-03 07:01 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. HOWEVER
If you track the number of people who prefer Democratic policies and those who prefer Republican policies, Dems come out way ahead, and always have. The country is not more conservative. It is trending more liberal. People just avoid the word liberal.
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Individualist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-30-03 07:09 PM
Response to Original message
14. Consider the source
CNN is nothing but a Faux wannabe. They lost credibility long ago.
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0rganism Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-30-03 07:20 PM
Response to Original message
15. Can you post a link to the poll, so I can examine the methodology?
As is, I don't even know if this was the only question on the poll, or the cross section of responders to a certain question, or how many people took the poll.
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Jim Sagle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-30-03 07:33 PM
Response to Original message
16. They're cranking out the Diebold voting machine code to make it happen
even as we post. :grr:
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fabius Donating Member (759 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-30-03 10:02 PM
Response to Original message
18. This looks like a bogus or inaccurate poll.
The numbers I've seen in the last year show overall registation within a couple of points in the 30's somewhere. This one is very counterintuitive.

BTW at tables signing up voters, I've run into a LOT of people (many younger) who clearly intend to vote for Dean or another Democrat, but who say they're already registered independent, or who just register to vote at our table. I believe a lot of younger people just think it's "cool" to register independent.

That said, I think the above mentioned poll is completely bogus.
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CalebHayes Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-31-03 12:43 AM
Response to Original message
20. Dems are free thinkers that don't like to go by a party book.
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