December 1999 poll: Bush 53 - Gore 42

[LSdemocrat]

http://www.evote.com/index.asp?Page=/polls_section/1999-12/archive.asp

We have time. Let's not freak out that we have no chance in the general election with certain candidates. This is politics, things change.

[Goldmund]

1. Who's freaking out?

If anything, I have to make sure I don't get relaxed by thinking _they_ don't have a chance.

I should, after all, start looking into Canada or Europe, and I haven't even started looking into that.

[samsingh]

3. i'm freaking out. several times a day

[samsingh]

4. i'm freaking out. several times a day

[samsingh]

5. i'm freaking out. several times a day

[Hope4]

2. clark and dean take note of this post

Clinton was not the select of the party bosses and was way behind in the polls at this time but he was elected. Let us upset the two power groups and vote a loyal liberal dem into run against bush.

[Julien Sorel]

6. Yep.

But there were differences: Gore was running after 8 years of a Democratic administration. There is a tendency for voters to want a change after the same party has held the presidency for two terms in a row. Bush is the incumbent. There is a strong tendency for voters to keep the incumbent unless presented with compelling economic reasons not to do so. Gore had a strong economy at his back. Bush now looks to be the one with the strong economy at his back. Gore had to deal with the Clinton scandals, which were just beginning to die down this time last election cycle. Where are the Bush scandals?

It's pointless to look back at poll numbers and not look at the situation surrounding them.

[CMT]

7. and then there are these polls

Connecticut (10/99)
Bush 52-36 over Gore
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x3290.xml#CTPRES00
Gore won Connecticut with about 60% of the vote.

or

New Jersey
7/99
Bush over Gore 51-40
also in the quinnipiac archives but have to look under New Jersey.

Actually there are dozens of examples since according to many polls including Gallup up until the Democratic convention Gore was running 15-20 points behind Bush.

[West Coast Democrat]

8. That's Nothing, Bush was up 6-13 pts in Late Oct 2000!!!!

http://www.cnn.com/2000/ALLPOLITICS/stories/10/27/cnntime.poll/index.html

October 27, 2000
Web posted at: 8:36 p.m. EDT (0036 GMT)

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Republican presidential nominee George W. Bush holds a 49-to-43 percent edge over Democratic rival Al Gore in the latest CNN/Time poll, conducted Wednesday and Thursday.

The poll of 2,060 adult Americans, including 1,076 likely voters, has a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points and is thus in essential agreement with a CNN/USA Today/Gallup tracking poll also released Friday. That poll gives Bush a 52 percent-39 percent edge over Gore. More important, both polls show the same snapshot of the current state of the presidential campaign: a solid advantage for Bush.