Hurricane DENNIS Strike Probabilities

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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIASPFAT4+shtml/092035.shtml?


000                                
WTNT74 KNHC 092035                 
SPFAT4                             
HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005           
                                   
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
                                   
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.6 WEST
                                   
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL
MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2005
                                   
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C 
D  E
                                   
29.9N  87.2W      37  1  X  X 38   PENSACOLA FL      31  4  X 
X 35
32.3N  88.4W       8 23  1  X 32   MOBILE AL         27  6  X 
X 33
34.2N  89.3W       X 22  3  1 26   GULFPORT MS       22  6  X 
X 28
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  2  2   BURAS LA          15  2  1 
X 18
VENICE FL          2  X  X  X  2   NEW ORLEANS LA     9  5  1 
X 15
TAMPA FL           2  X  X  1  3   NEW IBERIA LA      1  1  1 
2  5
CEDAR KEY FL       3  2  X  1  6   GULF 29N 85W      32  X  X 
X 32
ST MARKS FL        8  5  1  X 14   GULF 29N 87W      45  X  X 
X 45
APALACHICOLA FL   23  2  X  X 25   GULF 28N 89W      10  1  X 
X 11
PANAMA CITY FL    27  2  X  X 29   
                                   
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON        
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON        
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE        
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT      
                                   
FORECASTER STEWART                 
                                   
                                   
$$