Check out these polls about the next Congressional elections

[VermontDem2004]

Democracy Corps Poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). July 15-20, 2003. N=1,014 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1.

"Again, I know it's a long way off, but thinking about the elections in 2004, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your district where you live?"
Latest Results
Democrat 44% Republican 45% Other 2% Not Sure 10%

Ipsos-Reid/Cook Political Report Poll. June 17-19, 2003. N=767 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.6.

"And if the election for Congress were held today, would you want to see the Republicans or Democrats win control of Congress?"
Latest Results
Democrats 47% Republicans 40% Neither 10% Not Sure 3%

Penn Schoen & Berland Associates for the New Democrat Network. June 8-15, 2003. N=1,001 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1.
"If the election for Congress were held today and the candidates were a Democratic or Republican candidate, for whom would you vote?"
Latest Results
Democrat 41% Republicans 39% Not Sure 20%

McLaughlin & Associates (R). May 20-22, 2003. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide.
Democrat 39% Republican 40% Not Sure 21%

Public Opinion Strategies (R). March 19-20 & 22, 2003. N=800 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.
"And thinking ahead to the next U.S. congressional election in your district in 2004: If the election were held today, for whom would you vote: the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate? And would you say you would DEFINITELY be voting for the Republican/Democrat candidate or just PROBABLY voting for the Republican/Democrat candidate? Which way do you lean as of today? Do you lean toward the Democratic or Republican candidate?"
Latest Results
Democrat 38% Republican 44% Not Sure 20%

Zogby America Poll. March 14-15, 2003. N=1,129 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.
"In the congressional race in 2004, for which party's candidate do you intend to vote: Democrat or Republican?"
Latest Results
Democrat 39% Republican 36% Neither 4% Not Sure 21%

http://www.pollingreport.com/cong2004.htm

I normally don't follow polls because they always appear to be voted by Republicans but from what I see the Democrats have 1 lead in 1 poll including the MoE. The Democrats and Republicans are tied in all the others if you account for with the MoE. Also, the democrats numbers went up in all the polls except two. Anyways, what is your opinion from what you seen?

[VermontDem2004]

1. Kick

after I posted, 3 seconds later it sunk towards the middle of the page.

[samsingh]

2. hopeful but still

very volatile.

given the rotten state of everything, you'd expect the governing party to be doing far worse.

[On the Road]

3. Close -- Looks Like it Will Depend on Turnout

If a Dem wins, Congress could change. Both houses with a singificant win.

[NewJerseyDem]

4. What was the total vote in 2002?

It was probably pretty even but because most seat have been created to protect incumbents it doesn't really matter.

[Arbustosux]

5. I would rather win both houses of Congress than the presidency....

that way we could impeach Bush and his cabal of criminals

[VermontDem2004]

6. That is exactly how I feel

Winning both houses is more important then getting the Presidency. But he could still Veto alot of Democratic passed bills.

[Robbien]

7. This looks good.

Depends on who is more motivated at election time. Dems appear to be active, they are attending rallys and demonstrations. If the economy is still sluggish, Reps may not be as motivated to vote. So yay for us.