West Virginia Heads Down a Political Road Less Taken
By JAMES DAO
Published: November 16, 2004
...."I'd love to say I saw it all coming," said Gov. Bob Wise, a Democrat who is stepping down at the end of the year. "But I thought we were going to win."
Drawn by a powerful conservatism on issues like abortion, gun control and same-sex marriage, and fed up with the state's shrinking population and perpetually high poverty rates, voters are leaving the Democratic Party in substantial numbers, party leaders say.
Many Democrats now agree with political analysts who say the state will go the way of Kentucky and Tennessee, with Democrats continuing to control local governments but struggling to hold onto the Legislature and facing uphill battles in presidential races....
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To be sure, the Republicans did not score a clean sweep. The Democratic candidate for governor, Secretary of State Joe Manchin, won with more than 60 percent of the vote.
But in many ways, Mr. Manchin was the exception that proved the rule: He is one of the most conservative Democrats to win the job in decades, staunchly opposing abortion, gun control and gay marriage, and advocating a low-tax, pro-business economic platform....
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(Democratic leaders)were deeply dismayed by Mr. Kerry's showing. Four years ago, Vice President Al Gore all but ignored the state, and his loss could be written off to neglect. This year, Democrats were out in force for months registering voters, recruiting volunteers and defending Mr. Kerry's positions on gun control, coal mining and steel tariffs. Yet the margin of defeat grew....
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....the erosion of Democratic support is as much due to demographic shifts as to the religious right, analysts said. The eastern panhandle abutting Maryland, long a Republican stronghold, is the fastest-growing part of the state, becoming an affluent bedroom community to Washington. Mr. Bush won handily there.
At the same time, the coal fields of the south, a Democratic redoubt for decades, have steadily lost population as mining jobs have dried up and young people have moved away....
http://www.nytimes.com/2004/11/16/politics/16wvirginia.html