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New Poll: Still a Toss Up in Iowa (Obama 32-Edwards 29-Clinton 27)

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brooklynite Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-01-08 09:15 PM
Original message
New Poll: Still a Toss Up in Iowa (Obama 32-Edwards 29-Clinton 27)
Source: Political Wire

Political Wire got an advance look at a new Strategic Vision poll in Iowa that shows Sen. Barack Obama leading the Democratic presidential race with 32% support, followed by John Edwards at 29% and Sen. Hillary Clinton at 27%.

On the Republican side, Mitt Romney leads with 30%, followed by Mike Huckabee at 28%; Sen. John McCain at 16% and Fred Thompson at 13%.

Read more: http://politicalwire.com/archives/2008/01/01/new_poll_still_a_toss_up_in_iowa.html
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Bitwit1234 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-01-08 09:26 PM
Response to Original message
1. HA HA HA HA HA AT IT AGAIN I SEE
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humbled_opinion Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-01-08 09:33 PM
Response to Original message
2. This is positive news..
More people are beginning to see that Clinton is a non starter in the general i.e.,

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1376

:rant:
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papau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-01-08 09:42 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. Zogby Interactive poll - validity is not yet shown - lousy past history n/t
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jimlup Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-01-08 09:56 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. Zogby has is reputable
Zogby is a very reputable polling service. There numbers were right on the money in 2004. This isn't an "interactive" poll. I suspect this is a scientific poll.
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papau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-01-08 10:58 PM
Response to Reply #5
8. the 10/20/07 poll that is quoted was an unscientific online opt in poll
Released: October 20, 2007

Zogby Poll: Half Say They Would Never Vote for Hillary Clinton for President

Other top tier candidates in both parties win more acceptance; Richardson & Huckabee favored most

While she is winning wide support in nationwide samples among Democrats in the race for their party’s presidential nomination, half of likely voters nationwide said they would never vote for New York Sen. Hillary Clinton, a new Zogby Interactive poll shows.

The online survey of 9,718 likely voters nationwide showed that 50% said Clinton would never get their presidential vote. This is up from 46% who said they could never vote for Clinton in a Zogby International telephone survey conducted in early March. Older voters are most resistant to Clinton – 59% of those age 65 and older said they would never vote for the New York senator, but she is much more acceptable to younger voters: 42% of those age 18–29 said they would never vote for Clinton for President.

Whom would you NEVER vote for for President of the U.S.?


Clinton (D) 50%
==============================================================================================================

After the Zogby telephone survey in March's 47% was reported, later polls showed Hillary at 41% - less than the other candiates - up to 46%, depending on the telephone poll.

Zogby is pro-Obama - and this mix of telephone prior and online current so as to show a bad trend was noted by the professionals and he was called on it.
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Penndems Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-01-08 09:46 PM
Response to Original message
4. Thanks, brooklynite - Appreciate the latest info
Between the Zogby, the McClatchey, MSNBC, ABC, NBC, CNN and every other poll that's come out within the last few weeks, it's enough to send a person into statistical overload, LOL.
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brooklynite Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-01-08 10:01 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. The bottom line is they're all tied...
...so it depends on how each campaign turns out its voters. I'm inclined to give Edwards +2 points on the basis that he has Union support which will turn out reliability and stay till the bitter end.

more interesting story is actually in the Republican race. If Uncle Fred doesn't make it into the top 3, he's going to have a hard time claiming "momentum" to last through NH and SC. Also, where's the Ron Paul "surge" that all the fundraising was pointing to?
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Penndems Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-01-08 10:08 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. "I'm included to give Edwards +2 points . . ."
From your keyboard to God's ears, brooklynite.

My instincts are telling me that Huckabee's gonna take the lead on the GOP side.

I might be wrong, but it seems as if Ron Paul might be the Ross Perot of the campaign season - a spoiler who pulls votes away from whomever the Republican nominee might be.
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CoffeeCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-02-08 12:11 AM
Response to Reply #7
9. I agree with that...
Huckabee has the support of the Evangelicals, who are highly likely to participate in the
caucuses. Churches have highly organized methods of arranging for transportation
to and from the caucuses and encouraging people to attend.

Huckabee will take Iowa.
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dchill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-02-08 12:21 AM
Response to Reply #7
10. And I'll give him another 2...
so that's 4, right?
:)
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IndianaGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-02-08 12:24 AM
Response to Original message
11. It would be great if the Clintons finish third in Iowa, then lose New Hampshire.
I wonder if we could be that lucky...
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Capn Sunshine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-02-08 01:41 AM
Response to Reply #11
12. That's starting to look like reality
We're ahead in NH as I write this!
We already feel like Iowa is a fait accompli
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-02-08 04:00 AM
Response to Reply #12
13. Go with it, kid. Go with it.
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-02-08 04:01 AM
Response to Reply #11
14. "The Clintons"?
Never a minute without a smear. Cute. Bill isn't running.

People who are snide, even vicious in victory are...well...Republicans.
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killbotfactory Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-02-08 04:09 AM
Response to Reply #14
15. Right. Bill isn't running.
Hillary is just taking credit for every good thing his administration has done, and has the same damn people ready to go back into the white house, but they're not running as a team.
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fightindonkey Donating Member (674 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-02-08 06:34 AM
Response to Reply #15
16. Zogby Said Kerry Would Win Election, Election Night, Hillary Wins NH
I can wait for the Obama supporters to get a dose of reality.
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IndianaGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-03-08 12:06 AM
Response to Reply #14
19. The Clintons 2-for-1 deal. Vote for Hillary and you also get Bill and his baggage
As to being vicious, no one can beat the viciousness of the Clintons' DOMA and "Don't Ask-Don't Tell."
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indimuse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-02-08 07:19 AM
Response to Original message
17. To ALL you Obamawannabe's... Go check out the video posted..Obama is a RW ASS!
:mad::mad::mad:
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PDittie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-02-08 08:07 AM
Response to Original message
18. That's the first time I have noticed
Hillary polling third. Yes, it's all within the MOE, but still ...
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