Reply #8: RealClearPolitics.com == LV-only final-week polls, Unweighted Avgs, unallocated Undecided Voters.

[tiptoe]

Table 1

CNN/Time
Weighted Avg
RV
LV sub-sample

UnWeightd Avg
RV
LV sub-sample

18
18


18
18

Poll Share

Dem

Projection

Dem
49.4%
46.8%


46.5%
44.6%

GOP
40.4%
45.3%


41.3%
45.7%

Margin
9.0%
1.5%


5.2%
(1.1%)

Dem
54.5%
50.7%


52.6%
49.4%

GOP
45.5%
49.3%


47.4%
50.6%

RealClearPolitics.com conveys the very bottom of the four categories above and ignores the Weighted Averages of both RV and LV-subsamples as well as the RV Un-Weighted Avg in final weeks of the pre-election campaign, as it did in 2004. It's all part of the pre-election polling scam perpetrated on America by the RIGHT WING TRASH that hijacked the GOP, preparing the cover for election day vote-count fraud, further covered post-election by the forcing of the Final NEP to match the fraudulent vote count, and, in 2008, the radical-rightwing-GOP-controlled MSM went the extra mile with its news outlets FOX,CNN,AP,NBC,CBS,ABC withholding release of the three un-forced Preliminary NEP and the 51 unadjusted-state exit polls of its own hired exit pollster. That's how desperate they are. In 2004, those 51 unadjusted-state exit polls showed Kerry winning 52-47, confirming the 12:22am Preliminary exit poll's 51-48 Kerry win, with the latter also independently-confirmed by the final pre-election RV&LV polls of Gallup,CBS,Fox,ABC, and Pew.

The average pollster projection was off by 6%(!) in 2004 (the equivalent of 7.5 million voters unweighted by "projections", based on 125.7 mil votes cast).

In 2008, early-vote returns for Obama suggested to one political analyst on Oct 29 that the "Likely Voter" polls should be ignored and that final RV polls should be heeded. Indeed, 89.6% of the registered voters turned out, yet RCP projected on a basis on only LV polls. Moranic or Deceptive?