Reply #16: Dangerous Dozen Open House Seats = Three Democrats are in the race

[L. Coyote]

Dangerous Dozen Open House Seats
Stuart Rothenberg - April 08, 2008 - http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/04/dangerous_dozen_open_house_sea.html

A significant number of retirements since my last Dangerous Dozen (Oct. 25, 2007) has shuffled the list and shows why the fight for the House is a one-sided battle, with Democrats having most of the targets.

Here are the dozen most vulnerable open House seats, starting with the most likely seats to flip. The first three districts are all likely to go Democratic ......


New Mexico’'s 1st: Republican Rep. Heather Wilson’'s run for the Senate opens up a seat that she has held, though with significant difficulty, since a June 1998 special election. Last year, she was re-elected by 861 votes. Three Democrats are in the race: former Albuquerque Councilor Martin Heinrich, former state Health Secretary Michelle Lujan Grisham and former Secretary of State Rebecca Vigil-Giron. But Republicans are upbeat about their chances, with Bernalillo County Sheriff Darren White the favorite of party insiders. Kerry carried the district with 51 percent in 2004.