Reply #50: Be careful with what that guy says ...

[RoyGBiv]

In other threads, he is being taken to task for his comment about a "rupture disk" upon which a good portion of his theory is based. He's sorta backed off of it, but is not seemingly willing to engage in reasonable discussion with other noted experts on TOD. The bit about how the BOP remains (or doesn't remain) stable is rather weird also, and he uses the word "literally" way to damn much.

Also, if you'll notice from comments later on in that thread, other threads today, or just by following the last link in that message, this same post was put up by someone named "SHR" at site called Godlikeproductions. (Visit it at your own risk. It's got some interesting javascript running.) When asked about this at TOD, Dougr, the poster at TOD, was cagey about it but indicated the post first appeared at godlikeproductions, posted by "SHR---whoever that is---;-)." The writing style is clear, so I don't think it's that much of a mystery.

Dougr, FWIW, joined TOD four years ago and posted three times prior to today.

Now, you can go over to godlikeproductions and find that SHR (aka Dougr at TOD) is a complete nut: birther, HATES Obama, racist, homophobe, etc. He has a lot of "interesting" theories about a lot of things. One post he made prior to the election suggested that Obama was a part of a homosexual sex, drug, and murder scandal. Had all kinds of evidence for it too.

Now, having said all that, I am *not* saying his post is entirely wrong. I've been monitoring the Oil Drum's IRC channel for a week or so now, and a lot of what shows up in that piece has been put forth by another individual in bits and pieces in the last few days. Notably, this person has been debating the issue rather strongly with several TOD regulars in the IRC channel, resulting in some very tense moments a few days ago. They all pretty much agree that there is damage below the surface, but unlike "Dougr" implies, this isn't exactly a secret, and it doesn't necessarily mean what this person says it means. Another TOD member posted several news stories that mentioned it, including a press release from Chu's office indicating fears about this were a significant part of the reasoning for stopping the "Top Kill" at the time they did. They were afraid it was making things worse. The cable media didn't pick up on this very quickly, but print did to some extent.

Anyway, as I said, I don't mention this to discount how bad this situation is or suggest it's not flat out horrible, because it is horrible, and we are pretty much in a worst case scenario. I suggest, however, taking "Dougr's" comments with a huge helping of salt and not relying on him personally as a source. I think he is in general parroting another person and adding some of his own anti-government twists.