Reply #46: I'm repeating my post from another DU election thread..

[Peace Patriot]

...because it helps to have an example (and I want to explore a new idea).

An example from the OK stats:

Adair County with 70% of the vote counted
(Tulsa newspaper 11/3): Kerry 3,704 votes.

Adair County with 100% of the vote counted
(final “results”-CNN): Kerry 2,560 votes.

How could Kerry lose votes in the final count?
(Answer: Machines that count backwards.)

And this happened in 57 counties!
Here are a few more:

TulsaWorld newspaper-70% of the vote counted:
County--------GB--------JK
Adair---------2,137----3,704
Alfalfa----------920----1,075
Atoka----------839----2,897
Beaver---------807----1,114
Beckham-----2,811----2,343
Blaine--------1,537----1,792
....
Compare to the "FINAL" count from CNN--100% of vote counted:
County-----------GB---------JK
Adair -----------4,971-----2,560
Alfalfa----------2,201-------470
Atoka----------3,140-------1,946
Beaver---------2,271---------297
Beckham-------5,454-------1,931
Blaine----------3,199-------1,222
...
Votes Kerry LOST between the 70% and the 100% counts:
Adair-----1,144
Alfalfa------605
Atoka------951
Beaver-----817
Beckham---412
Blaine------570

I'm exploring an idea here, so indulge me. I think that one of the things these amazing stats help with is identifying or confirming the time period when the source code was activated to generate votes for Bush (and take votes from Kerry). The Tulsa paper printed partial stats (70% of the count) the next day because that's all they had when they put the paper to bed on election night (the first 70% of the counted vote). Presumably that last 30% of the vote--where the sharp bend toward Bush occurs (and where Kerry LOSES votes)--is the perceived late-in-the-day surge for Bush (when all the working poor and minorities vote--uhuh). That's also when they started mixing the Republican-controlled electronic result in with the Exit Poll data at CNN (Exit Poll data strongly favoring Kerry), and we all started staring at the TV screens with our mouths hanging open.

So it's sure looking like the tweaking of the source code occurred in the 4 pm to 8 pm period on election day--and that it was activated according to how events unfolded (a flexible fraud plan). Maybe they didn't know they needed these OK votes until later in the day (when things were looking really bad for them). Also, they had to start getting these "results" onto the screen to prevent networks from calling it for Kerry on the basis of his big numbers in the Exit Polls. I wonder if the electronic machines record the time of the supposed vote (I assume they do). It would be interesting to do a time study--looking for the phantom votes for Bush and votes stolen from Kerry (that are evident in that last 30% in this OK stat set). And also, the time-stamp of the votes that AP was feeding to CNN.

As with virtually ALL the statistical evidence so far--and it's really mounting up--what are the odds of innocent human or machine error ALWAYS favoring Bush? (Astronomical odds against it in the other studies.)

Posted by Al Bikr, at:
http://okimc.org/newswire.php?story_id=344

From stats at:
http://www.tulsaworld.com/TWPDFs/2004/Final/A_10_11_3_2...
4.pdf

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004//pages/results/states/...
/00/county.000.html

(Delete the paragraph returns from the above two urls before cutting and pasting.)