Reply #11: The verdict is not mine to make.

[kiwi_expat]

"Are you struggling to come up with a plausible implausibility to foist on us?" -TIA

What, my "11.5% Gore and 94% Bush voters for the 'War Prez'" scenario isn't good enough for you??

Something to keep in mind when labeling a scenario "implausible" because it does not correspond to the narrow 90-92% party switches in the polling-data demographics, is that Mitofsky, himself, said that the demographic data has a high MOE (I can't remember if it is 4% or 6%).

Surely the "11.5 G, 94 B" scenario is within the "realm of our experience and common sense".

So, if I were the judge, I would say the case has not been proven.


But, hey, I've always thought that Kerry probably won both the pop& EC vote. The people you need to convince are folks like liam_laddie's liberal friends (see "Seatbelts" thread). Maybe they are not as strict in their definition of "proof" as I.