Reply #11: Exit Polls in States with Close Results

[L. Coyote]

		Kerry		Kerry		Margin		Electoral 
		Exit		Vote		Error		Votes
NH		54.94		50.684		-4.256		4
NJ		54.70		53.127		-1.573		15
PA		54.12		51.130		-2.990		21
MN		53.52		51.764		-1.756		10
WA		53.48		53.598		0.118		11
OH		52.06		48.749		-3.311		20
MI		51.50		51.734		0.234		17
OR		50.25		51.969		1.719		7
NM		50.08		49.416		-0.664		5
FL		49.70		47.469		-2.231		27
IA		49.70		49.544		-0.156		7
WI		49.24		50.199		0.959		10
NV		49.16		48.666		-0.494		5
CO		48.12		47.349		-0.771		9
MO		47.00		46.327		-0.673		11

Exit Poll Data: Dr. Steve Freeman, ESMTP id <20050…… Sun, 2 Jan 2005

NOTE: "Margin Error" is the difference between the candidates, not the margin of error of the exit polls.

I recommend updating this data with turnout numbers instead of presidential vote numbers to determine the actual percentages of the vote received by the candidates. Some of that data is in the Exit Polls spreadsheet this data is drawn from. Some states are not yet reporting that data or do not actually know it!! The known data follows:

					                 Total 		         Registered
	 Bush		         Kerry		         Votes		         Voters
AK	   188,943		   109,765		   314,502		   472,160
AR	   573,182		   470,230		 1,054,945		 1,684,684
AZ	   908,211		   735,327		 2,038,069		 2,643,331
CA	 5,114,795		 6,250,561		12,590,863		
CO	 1,068,233		   960,666		 2,148,036		 2,404,597
CT	   686,923		   847,666		 1,607,808		 2,044,181
DC	    19,007		   183,876		   203,448		   383,919  
DE	   171,531		   199,887		   375,190		   555,270
FL	 3,955,656		 3,574,509		 7,640,319		10,301,290
HI	   194,109		   231,318		   431,662		   647,238
IA	   751,957		   741,898		 1,513,894		 2,106,658
ID	   408,254		   180,920		   612,786		   798,015
IL	 2,336,253		 2,866,307		 5,350,493		 7,499,488
IN	 1,477,807		   967,346		 2,512,142		 4,296,602
LA	 1,101,871		   819,150		 1,943,106		 2,923,395
MA	 1,067,163		 1,793,916		 2,927,455		 4,098,634
MD	   951,892		 1,223,813		 2,395,791		 3,070,337
MI	 2,310,803		 2,475,046		 4,875,692		 7,164,047
MN	 1,345,175		 1,443,619		 2,828,387		 3,658,000
MO	 1,452,715		 1,253,879		 2,764,635		 4,194,146 
MS	   671,084		   445,608		 1,139,824		 1,802,024
MT	   265,473		   173,363		   456,096		   638,474
ND	   195,998		   110,662		   316,049		   486,978
NE	   508,794		   251,626		   792,603		 1,160,199
NJ	 1,594,204		 1,812,956		 3,638,153		 5,009,140
NM	   376,940		   370,893		   775,094		 1,105,372
NV	   414,939		   393,372		   829,587		 1,074,083
NY	 2,962,789		 4,314,277		 7,448,226		11,837,068
OH	 2,858,727		 2,739,952		 5,574,476		 7,979,639
OK	   959,655		   504,077		 1,474,304		 2,143,978
OR	   823,210		   890,698		 1,818,544		 2,147,685
RI	   161,654		   247,407		   337,027		   672,950 
SD	   232,545		   149,225		   394,930		   552,441
TN	 1,381,937		 1,033,176		 2,456,610		 3,704,040
TX	 4,518,491		 2,825,723		 7,410,749		13,098,329
UT	   612,623		   227,286		   942,010		 1,278,251
VT	   120,710		   183,621		   314,220		   444,077
WA	 1,304,894		 1,510,201		 2,883,499		 3,508,208
WV	   417,516		   322,276		   769,645		 1,168,694
WY	   167,129		    70,620		   245,789		   232,396