US Senate Exit Polls == Why are they so different than Presidential Poll?

[L. Coyote]

Has anyone been researching the US Senate exit polls? We have the more accurate numbers from the Mitofsky/Edison Media report. What do they tell us?

I could not help but keep going back to the data because several huge discrepancies would not evanesce from short-term memory. Why was the Ohio Senate margin off by over 15%?

Using the "Evaluation of Edison/Mitofsky Election System 2004" data (Exit_EvaluationJan192005.pdf), Best Geo Estimator, Call 3, we find the following:

	
Margin Exit Discrepancies

OH	15.10
CT	14.40
NY	12.80
NH	12.20
VT	10.40
PA	10.30
HI	8.70
AL	8.60
SC	7.80
KS	7.30
LA	6.30
ND	6.00
NV	5.50
NC	5.40
WA	5.20
IL	4.70
MO	4.10
FL	3.90
WI	3.60
UT	3.50
AK	3.20
GA	3.10
IA	2.30
KY	1.60
CA	1.40
MD	1.30
IN	1.30
OK	1.20
AR	1.20
SD	1.00
AZ	0.30
CO	0.00

Who has analyzed this data?