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Newly Released EXIT POLL DATA - requires Some TIA Smoking Gun Treatment [View All]

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althecat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-31-04 12:13 AM
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Newly Released EXIT POLL DATA - requires Some TIA Smoking Gun Treatment
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Edited on Fri Dec-31-04 12:31 AM by althecat
I actually obtained this data a while ago but so far it has proved fairly useless. Mainly because what we wanted to look at were state by state polls.

http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/pdfs/Mitofsky4zonedata/

At the above link you will find the original Mitofsky/Edison reports for the :

- House & Presidential races
- in vertical and horizontal format (not sure what the difference is)
- For each of the East, West, Mid - West & Southern zones.

Each report comes in three versions. The 4pm run the 8pm run and the final 1.30pm Nov 3. corrected run.

I did not release this data earlier as it was provided by Mitofsky in response to a request from me to pay for the data. They subsequently said the state by state data which is what I wanted would cost $10k which was way out of my price range so we decided to scrap the deal.

However in light of the latest discoveries from ClintCooper and TIA (See this thread for details - http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=203&topic_id=214060&mesg_id=214060 ) regarding the how did you vote last time around questions - and the Conyers letter to Mitofsky and the NEP's response now seems like as good a time as ever to get the DU number crunching time to have a look.

In terms of my own wish list. I would like initially some of you folks to have a look at this data and perform the TIA SMOKING GUN analsysis on a four zone basis. On the face of things the exit poll data was more accurate in the West than the East... so this should bear that out.

al
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