Reply #33: great work - the exit poll Cuyahoga percentages could prove the theory!

[bruised]

Well done iceburg that was a brilliant analysis. You may have hit on something big. Your statistics provide a theory on how votes could be switched in punch card precincts. Not only is the correlation suspicious but the fact that Kerry's share dropped from 75 average
to only 55% in precincts "with 5 distinct ballot arrangements within the vote location -lets call them 5* locations)" is even more suspicious.
The reason I say that is first that the Ohio exit poll found that Kerry got an average of 65% in Cuyahoga. If as seems likely a good number of these 5* locations were in low populated low income areas - then also cnopsider the following those with income under $15K voted 73% for Kerry those under $30K 66 % for Kerry. Finally Afro-Americans voted 84% in favor of Kerry. (from the data on www.exitpollz.org/ohio_pres1.html -the 7.32pm update)

A tough job to put that all together but it could help to build a picture. This work can be certainly linked to those (who know Cuyahoga) who are looking at precincts with a surprisingly low Kerry vote -which I imagine is already being done by the activists in Ohio.
Great post- hope it gets to the right places.