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Reply #8: "Exit poll responses are facts. You voted for who you voted." [View All]

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foo_bar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-10-08 01:25 PM
Response to Original message
8. "Exit poll responses are facts. You voted for who you voted."
see: http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=389x2648205

There is no "Bradley effect" in an exit poll.

Source?

This reluctance to give accurate polling answers has sometimes extended to post-election exit polls as well.
<...>
The original term Bradley effect derives its name from a 1982 campaign involving Tom Bradley, the long-time mayor of Los Angeles, California. Bradley, who was black, ran as the Democratic party's candidate for Governor of California against Republican candidate George Deukmejian, who was white. The polls leading into the day of the election consistently showed Bradley with a lead.<4> In fact, based on exit polls on election day, a number of media outlets projected a Bradley win that night; early editions of the next day's San Francisco Chronicle even had a bold "BRADLEY WIN PROJECTED" headline. However, Bradley narrowly lost the race. Post-election research indicated that a smaller percentage of white voters actually voted for Bradley than that which had said they planned to vote for him, and that voters who had been classified as "undecided" had gone to Deukmejian in statistically anomalous numbers.<2>

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_effect

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