Reply #24: Local government poll prediction from the University of Plymouth

[muriel_volestrangler]

on Newsnight last night, based on recent local by-election results:

Local election experts at the University of Plymouth predicted the party would come a distant third behind the Tories and the Liberal Democrats in a result even worse than that achieved by Michael Foot in 1982, its previous nadir.

They forecast Labour would achieve only 24 per cent of the vote, with the LibDems a strong second on 29 per cent and the Tories well ahead on 38 per cent.

http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/news/article-23394088-details/Blair+'to+announce+next+week+when+he+will+stand+down'/article.do

Which they thought would translate to Labour losing 500 council seats, Tories gaining 330, Lib Dems 110, and others gaining 60 (including BNP? :scared:)

And Newsnight is collecting election leaflet gaffes:

the Oxford Liberal Democrat pamphlet appealing for "help in seeing a strong Tory challenge" which has had the word "defeated" rather hurriedly appended in pen

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/programmes/newsnight/6597927.stm