Reply #14: Fallacy

[DIBL]

By saying that 35% is the bottom end of Dean's support, you are implying that any voter with a favorable opinion of Dean and who says he'll vote for Dean will never switch his vote to another candidate. How so? For that to be true, people with favorable views toward Dean would need to have HIGHLY favorable opinions of him so that any favorable opinions they might have of other candidates will not sway their votes, or they need to have neutral or unfavorable opinions of all the other candidates.

Like Matt said, the poll doesn't measure hardcore support at all and votes can still slip away from Dean.