Reply #20: Where you dont poll

[Nicholas_J]

5 - 20 percent more Republican than Democrats.

Zogby's site has an article in which he points out an analysis of the Gallop polls and other polls that have shown Bush with large leads over Kerry and then showed what the actual polls would look like if you adjusted the polls for the differnces in the number of polled Democrats and Republicans and once the adjustments are made, Bush's leads disappear.

In the gallop report, they polled 38 per ent Republicans, but only 31 percent Democrats, and the rest Independents, and given that 90 percent of Republicans state that they are going to vote for Bush, polling this way would result in a poll where more people state they are going to vote for Bush than Kerry.