Reply #17: Well the truth is that Obama is much bigger on the ground

[ddeclue]

than McCain from what I've seen in Central Florida or in South Florida.

The real battle ground is the "I-4" corridor which runs from Daytona through Orlando to Tampa/St. Pete/Clearwater.

Right now Obama looks set to win the I-4 corridor. Orlando has shifted its registration to the point that Democrats out number Republicans by 60,000 voters in Orange County. In Congressional District 8 which runs from Orlando to Apopka in Central Florida, the Grayson campaign has shifted registration there from minus 3 to plus 1 and is leading by 7 points in the polls. In Congressional District 24, polls have Suzanne Kosmas tied up with Tom Feeney.

In the Orlando area in the last 2 years we've had a string of victories in state house races that have surprised and upset the Republicans that will also help solidify our situation in the 2008 campaign: Scott Randolph in 2006 in House 36, Darren Soto in 2007 in House 49, and Tony Sasso in 2008 in House 32. These districts cover much of Orange, Osceola, and Brevard counties.

Look to be surprised by Obama in Florida this year. I am predicting a 4 to 5 point win for him.

Doug D.
Orlando, FL