Reply #8: You're prof is so wrong...

[jeter]

How could Dean and Kerry survive New Hampshire?

Kerry is also trailing Dean in Massacusettes.

Yes, McCain won big in New Hampshire, but he staked his entire campaign on that election. That would probably explain Michigan. Hoping for a repeat in fortunes.

Dean, by contrast, has a national campaign. Which is exactly what the other candidates DON'T have.

So to use the McCain/Bush comparison again. In a way, Dean is Bush (in terms of national organization and money).

Again, if Kerry loses New Hampshire he is done. How could he win? How could he spin losing there?

Clinton and Bush lost it, sure. But they were from the south.

I don't see New Hampshire breaking any other candidates. But it will break Kerry or Dean. One has to win. The loser is out.