Reply #16: I was saying the same thing to a colleague 5 mins ago

[dbmk]

I expect her to drop out some time this week.

One thing can make it hard for her, though. She has painted herself up in this "everyone should be heard" corner, which her stopping would make look slightly opportunistic in retrospect. But it does seem like she has been warming up to an exit lately.

And this days contests will not inject extra fuel into her donation machine.

Overall she will be in a -140 delegate situation with about 220 pledged and about 250 superdelegates to go.
The about 200 pledged will almost certain break 50-50ish. A certain part of the SDs will break to the pledged delegate winner. It will be clear after today that she will need an extremely large part of the remaining SDs - which run counter the the general trend. We might be looking at her needing 180 of of 220ish SDs

Even the MSM pundits will find it hard to ignore - or be able to understand it is more likely. It might depend a little on how much the concept of winning the pledged delegates gains traction - and what the signals are from SDs in that regard.

In short: I think you are right.