Reply #58: It's not a joke.

[leftrightwingnut]

There are 795 uncommitted supers. If she narrows the gap to less than 100, that easily puts her over 2025 for the nomination. Then she doesn't have to go in for shenanigans with the regular delegates who could still switch their votes.

If fewer than 100 delegates separate Obama and Clinton, Hillary will claim that it is a essentially a tie. And that her "momentum" of recent wins shows the real will and intent of the people.

She would be right about the tie, bullshitting about the momentum because the only way to pull this scenario off is a few big wins -- or seating Florida without a redo.

I've read a couple of sources that say that 100 delegates is the magic number. Over a hundred and a candidate has an excellent argument that her delegates represent the popular vote. Under a 100, and it's considered a tie.

I'm guessing that, at this point, Hillary is angling for the Veep slot. She will use the threat of a deadlock or worse in an attempt to secure it.

If she somehow persuades the uncommitted to go with her, she would pretty much be forced to give Obama the veep slot.

The bottom line? It's still a long, long road to the nomination.

Personally, I think that I'd rather see Obama pull off a clear win so Hillary cannot go there. I'm afraid that she will go in for extreme, back-room hardball regardless.

My advice to Obama fans is: Don't believe your own spin and relax. It's not over until it's over.

Keep the faith. Peace.