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Edited on Mon May-05-08 11:11 PM by smalll
So we've got these SuperDs -- the "House of Lords" part of this hopelessly baroque, caucus-ridden, madddeningly proportional, pro-disenfranchisement (screw you Florida! Your party leaders MOVED THE DATE BACK TOO FAR! (Oh noes!) It's Old Testament Justice for you!) excuse for a nomination process (thanks a lot, Howard Dean!)
But the idea of the SuperDs is not a bad thing, in fact: SuperDs generally will have the Party's interests at heart: they want to pick someone who's electable, because they're running for office too -- for the SuperDs, normally, it's all about COAT-TAILS.
But this has been an unusual year. In part, it was destined by Dr. Dean's frankenstein-style proportionality: we have ended up with two candidates, virtually neck-and-neck.
And the one who is leading is Barack Obama. The man with the latte liberals behind him (the rank-and-file contributors to the Democratic Party.) The man with the African-Americans behind him (and God help us if they stay home). And the man with the hype, and the hip, and the Almighty Yoof on his side.
LET ME MAKE THIS PERFECTLY CLEAR: The SuperDs realize, at this point, that Barack Obama has electability issues. But they're willing to write (to wright?) the White House off: the Democrats succeeded so well Congressionally in '06, and the demographics are in our favor: it really doesn't matter what happens at the top of the ticket: one way or another, Nancy Pelosi will be Speaker of the House again (as long as she wants to keep the job.)
So the SuperDs are getting lazy. Sure, most blue-state, blue-district Congressmen and Congresswomen will re-capture their seats again: but they don't want to have the hassle of trying to raise money when the latte liberals are pissed off. They don't want to have to worry about trying to motivate the black folks to vote. They don't want to have to deal with their own little precious kids in college (majoring in film studies, or something equally latte-worthy) hating their parents even more than usual. So the SuperDs are leaning Obama.
This was supposed to be the Democrats' year. At this point though, for a Congressional SuperD, the path to the quiet life is clear: screw the White House. Us Dems are used to not having it. They don't have to get off their butts to re-capture Congress, after all. And we can live with McCain. We've lived with two terms of Dubya, right? As long as they get their earmarks, well, they're all right, Jack. The general electorate can shift for themselves.
Right??? (Wright?)
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