Reply #127: Hillary is already ahead of Obama in the Popular vote

[Tellurian]

"Why Hillary is Ahead in the Popular Vote"

Elections 2008

Sat Apr 26, 2008

Michael Barone at Real Clear Politics examines the popular vote totals, including caucus states, and says Hillary Clinton is ahead.

Her 214,000-vote margin in the Keystone State means that she has won the votes, in primaries and caucuses, of 15,112,000 Americans, compared to 14,993,000 for Obama.

If you add in the votes, as estimated by the folks at realclearpolitics.com, in the Iowa, Nevada, Washington and Maine caucuses, where state Democratic parties did not count the number of caucus-attenders, Clinton still has a lead of 12,000 votes.

Barone says even with a loss in North Carolina, Hillary may keep the lead if she does well, as expected in W.Va and Kentucky and Puerto Rico.

So it's likely that Clinton will be able to argue that undecided super-delegates should heed the will of the people.

Barone presents the Obama campaign's likely response, which he says, likely will prevail with superdelegates:

http://www.talkleft.com/story/2008/4/26/23307/7286