Reply #29: Perhaps not.. the trendline on Pollster shows a lesser trend of 0.5% per week

[FlyingSquirrel]

Over a 12-week period. However, there were a lot fewer polls earlier and the race hadn't really heated up - a lot of people still hadn't seen much of Obama. There are a lot of polls now showing very different things so it's hard to come up with a shorter-term trend based on them. One more Rasmussen poll would be very helpful because of the similarity in methodology. I'm pretty sure that the trend has picked up recently from 0.5% per week gap closing. It's probably somewhere between 1% and 2%. I'd give it an outside chance of closing by 3% per week in the last 4 weeks, but it'll take some serious work - and I don't see Clinton easing up on the fear-mongering.